2019 Oscar Predictions: SUPPORTING ACTRESS (June) – The return of the (Emma) Stone age

Erik Anderson June 21, 2018

Is The Favourite’s Emma Stone coming back for more Oscar gold?

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The queens are at it again. This month, Olivia Colman’s Queen Anne in The Favourite takes over the #2 spot from Margot Robbie’s Queen Elizabeth I in Mary Queen of Scots. I feel that Fox Searchlight will make The Favourite their top Oscar priority this season (I have it up in all other major categories), so much so that Oscar winner Emma Stone (La La Land) makes a huge jump from #9 last month into the top 5 this month. Script reviews reveal a wickedly dark and funny and its entirely female-fronted cast could speak loudly to voters and audiences this fall.

Amy Adams remains atop the chart and I can’t see her moving from there. I think she will ride this all year long to finally earn her first Academy Award. It would take Backseat being a massive failure to topple her. Nicole Kidman also holds strong this month with Boy Erased. She is legitimately in contention for lead (in Destroyer) and supporting nominations this year on the heels of the most successful awards year of her career with HBO’s Big Little Lies.

Last month Janelle Monáe debuted with The Women of Marwen – that title has since been changed to Welcome to Marwen (and has its first trailer and poster). This month she’s out and Leslie Mann is swapped in for reportedly having the larger role. Oscar winner Sissy Spacek also falls down to the Other Contenders list for Old Man & the Gun. Regina King (If Beale Street Could Talk) continues to quietly fall down the list and now rests just outside the top 5 at #6. I’m not entirely comfortable with her being that low, she has the book’s vital and visible role. Although I feel that the film will make an impact, more needs to be known about it (and seen) ahead of its likely fall festival run.

Claire Foy holds, despite the release of her film’s first trailer. She could be boosted by having this and The Girl in the Spider’s Web opening just one month after First Man. Oscar nominee Vera Farmiga stays in the top 10 with The Front Runner, which Sony just announced a nice awards release for (November 7); expect a trailer soon. Michelle Yeoh (Crazy Rich Asians) keeps her #10 spot this month.

With Where’d You Go, Bernadette dropping from the 2018 slate, Kristen Wiig goes with it. In her place comes Meryl Streep in Mary Poppins Returns. It’s going to be a very small part, but she has a song and that might be all the Academy needs from the three-time Oscar winner and 21-time nominee.

Oscar winner Tilda Swinton (Michael Clayton) makes her Nest Up chart debut with Oscar nominee Luca Guadagnino’s remake of Dario Argento’s 1977 horror masterpiece Suspiria. Although it seems the film could be far outside of the realm of the normal Oscar voter, her physically transformative role might be enough to snag support from the newer, more progressive members.

Here are my 2019 Oscar predictions in Best Supporting Actress for June 20th, 2018.

Green – moves up
Red – moves down
Blue – chart debut

1. Amy Adams – Backseat

2. Olivia Colman – The Favourite

3. Margot Robbie – Mary Queen of Scots

4. Nicole Kidman – Boy Erased

5. Emma Stone – The Favourite

6. Regina King – If Beale Street Could Talk

7. Claire Foy – First Man

8. Vera Farmiga – The Front Runner

9. Meryl Streep – Mary Poppins Returns

10. Michelle Yeoh – Crazy Rich Asians

NEXT UP

Cynthia Erivo – Widows

Leslie Mann – Welcome to Marwen

Tatiana Maslany – Destroyer

Ruth Negga – Ad Astra

Tilda Swinton – Suspiria

OTHER CONTENDERS

Jennifer Aniston – Dumplin’

Kathy Bates – On the Basis of Sex

Annette Bening – Georgetown

Lucy Boynton – Bohemian Rhapsody

Linda Cardellini – Green Book

Blythe Danner – What They Had

Laura Dern – JT Leroy

Denise Gough – Colette

Salma Hayek – The Hummingbird Project

Lena Headey – Fighting with My Family

Teresa Mahoney – Peterloo

Rachel McAdams – Disobedience

Janelle Monáe – Welcome to Marwen

Alison Pill – Backseat

Julia Roberts – Ben is Back

Amy Ryan – Beautiful Boy

Anna Deavere Smith – Can You Ever Forgive Me?

Sissy Spacek – The Old Man & the Gun

Marina de Tavira – Roma

Katherine Waterston – Mid 90s

Jacki Weaver – Widows

Merritt Wever – Welcome to Marwen

2019 Oscar Predictions: BEST PICTURE (June)

2019 Oscar Predictions: BEST DIRECTOR (June)

2019 Oscar Predictions: BEST ACTOR (June)

2019 Oscar Predictions: BEST ACTRESS (June)

2019 Oscar Predictions: SUPPORTING ACTOR (June)

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Erik Anderson

Erik Anderson is the founder/owner and Editor-in-Chief of AwardsWatch and has always loved all things Oscar, having watched the Academy Awards since he was in single digits; making lists, rankings and predictions throughout the show. This led him down the path to obsessing about awards. Much later, he found himself in film school and the film forums of GoldDerby, and then migrated over to the former Oscarwatch (now AwardsDaily), before breaking off to create AwardsWatch in 2013.

He is a Rotten Tomatoes-approved critic, accredited by the Cannes Film Festival, Telluride Film Festival, Toronto International Film Festival and more, is a member of the International Cinephile Society (ICS), The Society of LGBTQ Entertainment Critics (GALECA), Hollywood Critics Association (HCA) and the International Press Academy. Among his many achieved goals with AwardsWatch, he has given a platform to underrepresented writers and critics and supplied them with access to film festivals and the industry and calls the Bay Area his home where he lives with his husband and son.