It’s no secret that Warner Bros should be able to do very well in both makeup and hairstyling and visual effects. With Dune as the overwhelming frontrunner plus The Matrix Resurrections and The Suicide Squad hoping to replicate the wins of the films that came before them, the studio could be seeing a major Oscar comeback that started last season when its Judas and the Black Messiah won two Academy Awards.
Things feel eerily quiet in makeup and hairstyling as its hard for me to make any major changes in this lineup as it is. I did bump Spencer down and Titane up as the branch does often seek out of non-English language film and give it a prime top 5 spot. Il Divo, The 100-Year-Old Man Who Climbed Out of the Window and Disappeared, A Man Called Ove, Pinocchio, the list goes on. Titane being the official Oscar submission from France and a longshot contender in director gives it a big boost of visibility. I don’t see The Eyes of Tammy Faye or House of Gucci missing here with their intensive makeup for Jessica Chastain and Jared Leto, respectively. They might even be in better shape than Dune.
I did move around some spots in visual effects where I think Ghostbusters: Afterlife could find ecto-love and dual Sony/Marvel impact of new Venom and Spider-Man films (which are now inextricably linked) are definitely in contention. Don’t Look Up looks to have a few big vfx set pieces but definitely in a supporting sense compared to the effects-heavy competition from Godzilla vs. Kong.
The makeup/hair and visual effects guilds don’t reveal their nominations until January but before that we’ll have some critics groups and Critics Choice chiming in and those might give us some insight as to the path some of these films will take.
Here are my 2022 Oscar predictions in Makeup & Hairstyling and Visual Effects for November 2021.
Green – moves up ↑ Red – moves down ↓ Blue – new/re-entry ♦ Black – no movement ↔
1. Dune (Warner Bros/HBO Max) ↔
2. The Eyes of Tammy Faye (Searchlight Pictures) ↔
3. House of Gucci (MGM/UA) ↔
4. Cruella (Walt Disney) ↔
5. The Suicide Squad (Warner Bros/HBO Max) ↔
6. Nightmare Alley (Searchlight Pictures) ↔
7. Titane (NEON) ↑
8. King Richard (Warner Bros/HBO Max) ↔
9. The Tragedy of Macbeth (A24/Apple Original Films) ↔
10. Being the Ricardos (Amazon Studios) ↓
Other contenders:
Eternals (Walt Disney/Marvel)
The French Dispatch (Searchlight Pictures)
The Last Duel (20th Century Studios)
Last Night in Soho (Focus Features)
Licorice Pizza (MGM/UA)
Spencer (NEON)
Green – moves up ↑ Red – moves down ↓ Blue – new/re-entry ♦ Black – no movement ↔
1. Dune (Warner Bros/HBO Max) ↔
2. The Matrix Resurrections (Warner Bros/HBO Max) ↔
3. Godzilla vs. Kong (Warner Bros/HBO Max) ↑
4. Don’t Look Up (Netflix) ↓
5. Ghostbusters: Afterlife (Sony Pictures) ↑
6. Free Guy (20th Century Studios) ↓
7. The Tomorrow War (Amazon Studios) ↔
8. Spider-Man: No Way Home (Sony Pictures/Marvel) ↑
9. The Suicide Squad (Warner Bros/HBO Max) ↔
10. Venom: Let There Be Carnage (Sony Pictures) ↑
Other contenders:
Black Widow (Walt Disney/Marvel)
Eternals (Walt Disney/Marvel) ↓
Finch (Apple Original Films)
Jungle Cruise (Walt Disney)
No Time to Die (MGM/UA)
Shang-Chi and the Legend of the Ten Rings (Walt Disney/Marvel)
Space Jam: A New Legacy (Warner Bros/HBO Max)
Swan Song (Apple Original Films)
The Tragedy of Macbeth (A24/Apple Original Films)
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