2026 Oscar Predictions: SUPPORTING ACTOR and SUPPORTING ACTRESS (June)
Sentimental Value‘s Grand Prix win at Cannes keeps Stellan Skarsgård in the #1 spot again this month but the first trailer for Springsteen: Deliver Me From Nowhere (ugh, that title) finds Jeremy Strong and Stephen Graham switching spots, vaulting Strong all the way up to #2. With Strong playing The Boss’s manager Jon Landau in what is present day in the film and Graham, seen in black and white flashbacks as Springsteen’s father, it gives us a better idea of everything from screen time to impact. But, Graham is likely going to be coming off the heels of a very big Emmy night in September, right after this film starts its festival run and a month ahead of its official release. Is there room for both? Maybe, certainly in this category historically.
Speaking of Sentimental Value, there’s also a dual race happening in Supporting Actress with Elle Fanning, portraying an American actress angling for a part in Skarsgård’s character’s newest film and Inga Ibsdotter Lilleaas, portraying one of his daughters. Great performances from both, with most of Fanning’s screen time alongside Skarsgård, while Lilleaas finds herself aligned with Best Actress contender Renate Reinsve.
Here are my 2026 Oscar nomination predictions in Supporting Actor and Supporting Actress for June.
SUPPORTING ACTOR
| 1. Stellan Skarsgård – Sentimental Value (NEON) |
| 2. Jeremy Strong – Springsteen: Deliver Me From Nowhere (20th Century Studios) |
| 3. Adam Sandler – Jay Kelly (Netflix) |
| 4. Sean Penn – One Battle After Another (Warner Bros) |
| 5. Paul Mescal – Hamnet (Focus Features) |
| 6. Andrew Garfield – After the Hunt (Amazon MGM) |
| 7. Stephen Graham – Springsteen: Deliver Me From Nowhere (20th Century Studios) |
| 8. Miles Caton – Sinners (Warner Bros) |
| 9. Delroy Lindo – Sinners (Warner Bros) |
| 10. Andrew Scott – Blue Moon (Sony Pictures Classics) – Berlin winner |
| 11. Jonathan Bailey – Wicked For Good (Universal Pictures) |
| 12. Bradley Cooper – Is This Thing On? (Searchlight Pictures) |
| 13. Josh O’Connor – Wake Up Dead Man (Netflix) |
| 14. Takehiro Hira – Rental Family (Searchlight Pictures) |
| 15. Stavros Halkias – Bugonia (Focus Features) |
| 16. Benicio del Toro – One Battle After Another (Warner Bros) |
| 17. Jacob Elordi – Frankenstein (Netflix) |
| 18. William H. Macy – Train Dreams (Netflix) |
| 19. Jack O’Connell – Sinners (Warner Bros) |
| 20. Mark Hamill – The Life of Chuck (NEON) |
Next up: Akira Emoto – Rental Family (Searchlight Pictures), Ben Foster – Untitled Christy Martin biopic (TBD), Tom Hiddleston – The Life of Chuck* (NEON), Conan O’Brien – If I Had Legs I’d Kick You (A24), Russell Crowe – Nuremberg (Sony Pictures Classics), Dylan O’Brien* – Twinless (Roadside Attractions), Josh O’Connor – The History of Sound (MUBI), Robert Pattinson – Die, My Love (MUBI), Michael Shannon – Nuremberg (Sony Pictures Classics), Christoph Waltz – Frankenstein (Netflix), Jeffrey Wright – Highest 2 Lowest (Apple Original Films/A24)
Other contenders: Christopher Abbott – Ann Lee (TBD), A$AP Rocky – Highest 2 Lowest (Apple Original Films/A24), Mamoudou Athie – The Drama (A24), Murray Bartlett* – At the Sea (TBD), Sean Bean – Anemone (Focus Features), Adam Driver – Father, Mother, Sister, Brother (MUBI), Idris Elba* – A House of Dynamite (Netflix), Brendan Fraser – Pressure (Focus Features), Woody Harrelson – Ella McKay (20th Century Studios), Jude Law – The Wizard of the Kremlin (TBD), Lewis Pullman – Ann Lee (TBD), Matt Smith – Caught Stealing (A24), Michael Stuhlbarg – After the Hunt (Amazon MGM)
*Lead or supporting? Murray Bartlett – At the Sea (TBD), Idris Elba – A House of Dynamite (Netflix), Tom Hiddleston – The Life of Chuck (NEON), Dylan O’Brien – Twinless (Roadside Attractions),
SUPPORTING ACTRESS
| 1. Emma Stone – Bugonia (Focus Features) |
| 2. Ayo Edebiri – After the Hunt (Amazon MGM) |
| 3. Gwyneth Paltrow – Marty Supreme (A24) |
| 4. Laura Dern – Jay Kelly (Netflix) |
| 5. Glenn Close – Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery (Netflix) |
| 6. Emily Blunt – The Smashing Machine* (A24) |
| 7. Ariana Grande – Wicked For Good (Universal Pictures) |
| 8. Inga Ibsdotter Lilleaas – Sentimental Value (NEON) |
| 9. Elle Fanning – Sentimental Value (NEON) |
| 10. Teyana Taylor – One Battle After Another (Warner Bros) |
| 11.Wunmi Mosaku – Sinners (Warner Bros) |
| 12. Tilda Swinton – The Ballad of a Small Player (Netflix) |
| 13. Hailee Steinfeld – Sinners (Warner Bros) |
| 14. Jennifer Lopez – Kiss of the Spider Woman (Lionsgate/Roadside Attractions) |
| 15. America Ferrera – The Lost Bus (Apple Original Films) |
| 16. Mari Yamamoto – Rental Family (Searchlight Pictures) |
| 17. Sissy Spacek – Die, My Love (MUBI) |
| 18. Laura Dern – Is This Thing On?* (Searchlight Pictures) |
| 19. Michaela Coel – Mother Mary (A24) |
| 20. Angelina LookingGrass – The Rivals of Amziah King (TBD) |
Next up: Glenn Close – The Summer Book (TBD), Chase Infiniti – One Battle After Another (Warner Bros), Emily Mortimer – Jay Kelly (Netflix), Margaret Qualley – Blue Moon (Sony Pictures Classics), Mia Threapleton – The Phoenician Scheme (Focus Features)
Other contenders: Amy Adams – Klara and the Sun (Sony Pictures), Kerry Condon – Pressure (Focus Features), Jamie Lee Curtis – Ella McCay (20th Century Studios), Zoey Deutch* – Nouvelle Vague (Netflix), Virginie Efira – Vie Privée (Sony Pictures Classics), Rebecca Ferguson* – A House of Dynamite (Netflix), Mia Goth – Frankenstein (Netflix), Nina Hoss – Hedda (Amazon MGM), Gaby Hoffmann – Springsteen: Deliver Me From Nowhere (20th Century Studios), Vicky Krieps – Father, Mother, Sister, Brother (MUBI), Thomasin McKenzie – Ann Lee (TBD), Samantha Morton – Anemone (Focus Features), Katy O’Brien – Untitled Christy Martin biopic (TBD), Alicia Silverstone – Bugonia (Focus Features), Emily Watson – Hamnet (Focus Features)
*Lead or supporting? Emily Blunt – The Smashing Machine (A24), Laura Dern – Is This Thing On? (Searchlight Pictures), Zoey Deutch – Nouvelle Vague (Netflix), Rebecca Ferguson – A House of Dynamite (Netflix)
He is a Rotten Tomatoes-approved critic, accredited by the Cannes Film Festival, Telluride Film Festival, Toronto International Film Festival and more, is a member of the International Cinephile Society (ICS), The Society of LGBTQ Entertainment Critics (GALECA), Critics Choice Association (CCA), San Francisco Bay Area Film Critics Circle (SFBAFCC) and the International Press Academy. Among his many achieved goals with AwardsWatch, he has given a platform to underrepresented writers and critics and supplied them with access to film festivals and the industry and calls the Bay Area his home where he lives with his husband and son.
- Penélope Cruz, Walter Salles, Bruce Springsteen, Bowen Yang to be Honored at 5th Annual Academy Museum Gala - July 17, 2025
- 2026 Oscar Predictions: SUPPORTING ACTOR (July) - July 16, 2025
- 2026 Oscar Predictions: BEST ACTOR (July) - July 16, 2025
Penélope Cruz, Walter Salles, Bruce Springsteen, Bowen Yang to be Honored at 5th Annual Academy Museum Gala 
On the Shelf: ‘The Surfer’ ‘Shane,’ ‘Antoine Doinel’ on 4K Highlight the Physical Media Releases 
2026 Oscar Predictions: SUPPORTING ACTOR (July) 
2025 Emmys: Martin Short (‘Only Murders in the Building’) Could Make History as Oldest Comedy Lead Actor Winner