2027 Oscar Predictions: BEST ACTOR (June)

Like with Best Actress, the Cannes Best Actor winner doesn’t have a great history of Oscar correlation but it’s definitely better. Since 1990 there have been six actors who have turned their Cannes wins into Academy Award nominations: Gérard Depardieu for 1990’s Cyrano de Bergerac, nothing in the 00s then four in the 10s, Javier Bardem for 2010’s Biutiful, Jean Dujardin for 2011’s The Artist, Bruce Dern for 2013’s Nebraska and Antonio Banderas for 2019’s Pain and Glory. Finally, just this last season saw Wagner Moura for The Secret Agent. Only Dujardin manifested his into a win, and in the Best Picture winner, no less.

Also like Cannes Best Actress this year, the jury went for dual wins in Best Actor, choosing the romantic leads of Lukas Dhont’s World War I drama Coward, Emmanuel Macchia and Valentin Campagne. Unlike Efira and Okamoto, I think Macchia and Campagne will have a harder time with the Academy. While I feel comfortable it will represent Belgium for International Feature Film and be a likely nominee, will it have a place outside of that? Personally I hope so, I think it’s an incredible film. But again, as in Best Actress at the Oscars, you have to back even further for the last time two Best Actor contenders made the cut from the same film; F. Murray Abraham and Tom Hulce for 1984’s Amadeus. Abraham won, a part of the eight awards the film won, including Best Picture.

Cannes gave us quite a few good first looks at potential nominees, several of which I included in my pre-Cannes predictions. Sebastian Stan in in Fjord, the Palme d’Or winner, Spanish pop star Guitarricadelafuente (La bola negra) in his debut performance in the Best Director/s-winning film, Hanns Zischler (Fatherland), in the other Best Director-winning film, Adam Driver in Paper Tiger and Rami Malek in The Man I Love. Currently, only Malek’s film is without a distributor but I suspect it will have one by the time the New York Film Festival rolls around. But for now, he’s going to drop a bit in my rankings as a result and he switches places with Jaafar Jackson, as Michael gets close to clinching the all-time box office record for a biopic, currently held by Bohemian Rhapsody starring… Rami Malek.

Here are my 2027 Oscar nomination predictions in Best Actor for June.

Next up: Robert Aramayo – I Swear (Sony Pictures Classics), Valentin Campagne – Coward (MUBI) – Cannes Best Actor NEW, Adam Driver – Paper Tiger (NEON), Jesse Eisenberg – Untitled Jesse Eisenberg Musical Comedy aka No One Cares (A24), Andrew Garfield – The Uprising (Focus Features), Anthony Ippolito – I Play Rocky (Amazon MGM Studios), Emmanuel Macchia – Coward (MUBI) – Cannes Best Actor NEW, Charles Melton – Saturn Return (Netflix), Pedro Pascal – Behemoth! (Searchlight Pictures) ⬆, Brad Pitt – The Adventures of Cliff Booth (Netflix), Sam Rockwell – Wild Horse Nine (Searchlight Pictures), Andrew Scott – Elsinore (TBD), Denzel Washington – Here Comes the Flood (Netflix), Jeremy Allen White – The Social Reckoning (Sony Pictures/Columbia), Hanns Zischler – Fatherland (MUBI) ⬇

Full list (alphabetical)

Yahya Abdul-Mateen II – By Any Means (Paramount Pictures)

Robert Aramayo – I Swear (Sony Pictures Classics)

Javier Bardem – The Beloved (TBD)

Javier Bardem – Bunker (TBD)

Adam Bessa – Parallel Tales (TBD)

Bastien Bouillon – The Birthday Party (TBD)

Valentin Campagne – Coward (MUBI) – Cannes Best Actor

Timothée Chalamet – Dune: Messiah (Warner Bros)

Russell Crowe – Billion Dollar Spy (Lionsgate)

Tom Cruise – Digger (Warner Bros)

Matt Damon – The Odyssey (Universal Pictures)

Adam Driver – Paper Tiger (NEON)

Jean Dujardin – The Rays and Shadows (TBD)

Alden Ehrenreich – A Talent for Murder (TBD)

Jacob Elordi – The Dog Stars (20th Century Studios)

Jamie Foxx – Fight for 84 (Netflix)

Andrew Garfield – The Uprising (Focus Features)

Ryan Gosling – Project Hail Mary (Amazon MGM Studios)

Guitarricadelafuente – La bola negra (Netflix)

Fred Hechinger – A Long Winter (TBD)

Nicholas Hoult – Cry to Heaven (TBD)

Anthony Ippolito – I Play Rocky (Amazon MGM Studios)

Hugh Jackman – The Death of Robin Hood (A24)

Jaafar Jackson – Michael (Lionsgate)

Andrzej Konopka – Hot Spot (Focus Features)

Peter Lanzani – The Most Intimate Betrayal (Netflix)

Gilles Lellouche – Moulin (TBD)

Tony Leung Chiu-wai – Silent Friend (1-2 Special)

Emmanuel Macchia – Coward (MUBI) – Cannes Best Actor

Matthew Macfadyen – Seance of a Wet Afternoon (TBD)

Rami Malek – The Man I Love (TBD)

John Malkovich – Wild Horse Nine (Searchlight Pictures)

Luca Marinelli – The Echo Chamber (TBD)

Scoot McNairy – The Life and Deaths of Wilson Shedd (TBD)

Charles Melton – Saturn Return (Netflix)

Josh O’Connor – Disclosure Day (Universal Pictures)

Josh O’Connor – Jack of Spades (TBD)

Pedro Pascal – Behemoth! (Searchlight Pictures)

Robert Pattinson – The Drama (A24)

Robert Pattinson – Primetime (A24)

Genden Phuntsok – Tenzing (Apple Original Films)

Brad Pitt – The Adventures of Cliff Booth (Netflix)

Brad Pitt – Heart of a Beast (Paramount Pictures)

Will Poulter – Saturn Return (Netflix)

Sam Rockwell – Wild Horse Nine (Searchlight Pictures)

Seth Rogen – The Invite (A24)

Leonardo Sbaraglia – Bitter Christmas (Sony Pictures Classics)

Andrew Scott – Elsinore (TBD)

Dominic Sessa – Tony (A24)

Sebastian Stan – Fjord (NEON)

Sul Kyung-gu – Possible Love (Netflix)

Aaron Taylor-Johnson – Cry to Heaven (TBD)

Miles Telller – Paper Tiger (NEON)

John Turturro – The Only Living Pickpocket in New York (Sony Pictures Classics)

Taika Waititi – Place to Be (TBD)

Denzel Washington – Here Comes the Flood (Netflix)

Jeremy Allen White – The Social Reckoning (Sony Pictures/Columbia)

Juris Žagars – Minotaur (MUBI)

Hanns Zischler – Fatherland (MUBI)

Zo In-sung – Possible Love (Netflix)

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Erik Anderson

Erik Anderson is the founder/owner and Editor-in-Chief of AwardsWatch and has always loved all things Oscar, having watched the Academy Awards since he was in single digits; making lists, rankings and predictions throughout the show. This led him down the path to obsessing about awards. Much later, he found himself in film school and the film forums of GoldDerby, and then migrated over to the former Oscarwatch (now AwardsDaily), before breaking off to create AwardsWatch in 2013.

He is a Rotten Tomatoes-approved critic, accredited by the Cannes Film Festival, Telluride Film Festival, Toronto International Film Festival and more, is a member of the International Cinephile Society (ICS), The Society of LGBTQ Entertainment Critics (GALECA), Critics Choice Association (CCA), San Francisco Bay Area Film Critics Circle (SFBAFCC) and the International Press Academy. Among his many achieved goals with AwardsWatch, he has given a platform to underrepresented writers and critics and supplied them with access to film festivals and the industry and calls the Bay Area his home where he lives with his husband and son.

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