2018 Oscar Predictions: BEST ACTRESS (October) – Margot Robbie Skates Up the Chart
Three-time Oscar winner Meryl Streep may continue reign atop with The Post but Margot Robbie is coming in hot with I, Tonya this month. She triple axels all the way from #12 to the top 5 on the announcement that Neon will be making a full awards push for her and the film, which was the runner-up for the People’s Choice Award at the Toronto International Film Festival last month. With a rich category full of Oscar winners and nominees, Robbie is the perfect ingenue newcomer that Best Actress loves.
Not to be underdone, Oscar winner Frances McDormand blows up the top 5 herself, vaulting all the way up to #2, just two points behind Streep. Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri won that lucrative People’s Choice Award and thats boosts the entire film across the board.
Robbie’s move bumps two-time Oscar nominee Saoirse Ronan (Lady Bird) out of the top 5 as well as syphons off votes from Sally Hawkins (The Shape of Water) and Kate Winslet (Wonder Wheel), both of whom fall in position and points. Wonder Wheel is the closing night film at the New York Film Festival (October 15th) with a very buzzed about performance from the Oscar winner.
Oscar winners Emma Stone (Battle of the Sexes) and Judi Dench (Victoria and Abdul) hold onto their #6 and #7 spots but Jessica Chastain (Molly’s Game) is making a comeback after falling down to the Other Contenders list and is nipping at Dench’s heels.
The ladies from Sony Classics don’t fare too well this month with Daniela Vega (A Fantastic Woman) stagnant in points despite moving up one and Annette Bening (Film Stars Don’t Die in Liverpool), who was working on a fantastic overdue narrative at #6 last month falling to the bottom of the chart this month with little chance of holding on.
Vicky Krieps (Phantom Thread) pops up this month on the Other Contenders list on word that her role in the secretive Paul Thomas Anderson film is substantial enough to warrant a push here.
Those falling off completely include Oscar winner Jennifer Lawrence in mother! The response to her incredibly divisive film might be just too divisive for the Academy. Claire Foy was announced this week as going supporting for Breathe and she finds herself out but I’m keeping her on the Other Contenders list just in case.
2018 Oscar Predictions (October) – BEST PICTURE | BEST DIRECTOR | BEST ACTOR
Here are the 2018 Oscar predictions for Best Actress for September from the Gold Rush Gang. Keep an eye on all of the Gold Rush Gang’s 2018 Oscar predictions updated LIVE throughout the month.
Green – moves up from last month
Red – moves down from last month
Blue – debut/new entry
Orange – re-entry
| BEST ACTRESS | ERIK ANDERSON |
BRYAN BONAFEDE | GREG HOWARD | EVAN KOST |
JASON OSIASON | KENNETH POLISHCHUK |
DENIZCAN SÜRÜCÜ | RICHARD ANTHONY |
ŞÜKRÜ SÖĞÜT | MATT DINN | TOTAL POINTS |
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Meryl Streep – The Post | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 94 |
| 2 | Frances McDormand – Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 92 |
| 3 | Sally Hawkins – The Shape of Water | 3 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 77 |
| 4 | Kate Winslet – Wonder Wheel | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 76 |
| 5 | Margot Robbie – I, Tonya | 5 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 59 |
| 6 | Saoirse Ronan – Lady Bird | 7 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 49 |
| 7 | Emma Stone – Battle of the Sexes | 9 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 30 |
| 8 | Judi Dench – Victoria and Abdul | 6 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 27 | |
| 9 | Jessica Chastain – Molly’s Game | 8 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 26 | |
| 10 | Daniela Vega – A Fantastic Woman | 8 | 10 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 17 | |
| 11 | Annette Bening – Film Stars Don’t Die in Liverpool | 10 | 10 | 10 | 3 |
OTHER CONTENDERS
Carey Mulligan – Mudbound
Claire Foy – Breathe
Diane Kruger – In the Fade
Halle Berry – Kings
Helen Mirren – The Leisure Seeker
Jennifer Lawrence – mother!
Michelle Williams – All the Money in the World
Rachel Weisz – Disobedience
Salma Hayek – Beatriz at Dinner
Vicky Krieps – Phantom Thread
He is a Rotten Tomatoes-approved critic, accredited by the Cannes Film Festival, Telluride Film Festival, Toronto International Film Festival and more, is a member of the International Cinephile Society (ICS), The Society of LGBTQ Entertainment Critics (GALECA), Hollywood Critics Association (HCA) and the International Press Academy. Among his many achieved goals with AwardsWatch, he has given a platform to underrepresented writers and critics and supplied them with access to film festivals and the industry and calls the Bay Area his home where he lives with his husband and son.
- 2025 Oscar Predictions: SUPPORTING ACTOR (November) - November 21, 2024
- 2025 Oscars: Eligibility Lists for Animated Feature, Documentary Feature and International Feature Film for the 97th Academy Awards - November 21, 2024
- Nava Mau, Sean Wang Among 2024 BAFTA Breakthroughs Championing New ‘Must-Watch’ Creatives - November 21, 2024
2025 Oscar Predictions: SUPPORTING ACTOR (November) 
Director Watch Podcast Ep. 72 – ‘Three Colours: Blue’ (Krzysztof Kieślowski, 1993) 
2025 Oscars: Eligibility Lists for Animated Feature, Documentary Feature and International Feature Film for the 97th Academy Awards 
Nava Mau, Sean Wang Among 2024 BAFTA Breakthroughs Championing New ‘Must-Watch’ Creatives