FINAL 2022 Oscar Predictions: DOCUMENTARY FEATURE

It looks like the Critics’ Choice curse will finally be broken this year, as Summer of Soul nabs the PGA and BAFTA for Documentary Feature, paving the way for an Oscar win. Past CCA winners have largely gone on to be snubbed even for a nomination and that was always the biggest hurdle for Summer of Soul, a largely archival footage film and the overwhelming critics’ fave this season.
Flee is the film’s closest and only rival and of its three history-making feature Oscar nominations if it was going to upset anywhere, it would be here. But, it would be a pretty shocking upset.
Here are my final Oscar predictions in Documentary Feature.
1. Summer of Soul (Searchlight Pictures/Hulu) – CEH, CCA, IDA, PGA, BAFTA
Ahmir “Questlove” Thompson, Joseph Patel, Robert Fyvolent and David Dinerstein
2. Flee (NEON) – CEH, CCA, DOC NYC, Gotham, IDA, EFA, PGA, BAFTA
Jonas Poher Rasmussen, Monica Hellström, Signe Byrge Sørensen and Charlotte De La Gournerie
3. Ascension (MTV Documentary Films) – CEH, CCA, DOC NYC, Gotham, IDA, PGA
Jessica Kingdon, Kira Simon-Kennedy and Nathan Truesdell
4. Attica (Showtime) – CCA
Stanley Nelson and Traci A. Curry
5. Writing with Fire (Music Box Films) – IDA, PGA
Rintu Thomas and Sushmit Ghosh

- Midnight Critics Circle (MCC) Awards: ‘Marty Supreme’ Wins Best Picture - January 28, 2026
- Writers Guild of America (WGA) Nominations: ‘Black Bag,’ Weapons,’ ‘The Chair Company’ and More - January 27, 2026
- American Cinema Editors (ACE) Nominations: ‘Hamnet,’ ‘Bugonia,’ ‘Pluribus,’ ‘The Chair Company’ and More - January 27, 2026

Midnight Critics Circle (MCC) Awards: ‘Marty Supreme’ Wins Best Picture
‘Undertone’ Review: This Pod Means Death in Ian Tuason’s Paranormal Aural Creeper [B+] | Sundance
‘The Weight’ Review: Ethan Hawke is Ever-Reliable in Tension-Free, Depression Era Actioner [B-] | Sundance
‘The Only Living Pickpocket in New York’ Review: John Turturro is Wonderful as a Timeless Anti-Hero with a 1970s Vibe [A-] | Sundance