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Predictions

Golden Globe Predictions (Motion Picture and TV)

The first televised awards of Oscar season is upon us, the 76th Golden Globe Awards, which will be handed out by the Hollywood Foreign Press Association on Sunday, January 6th. 76th Golden Globe Awards: How to Watch; Order of Awards Although the Globes can often go their own way with some of their wins, they can also be the starting …

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Frontrunner Friday: Is This Where Critics and the Oscars Will Divide?

It’s the last Frontrunner Friday of 2018 and I’m closing it out with predictions, of course, but also a deep look into what could be a great divide between critics and the Academy this year. It’s often griped that the Oscars don’t, or shouldn’t, align with critics because critics don’t vote on the Oscars. Fair enough, as critics have their …

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2019 Oscar Predictions: BEST PICTURE (December)

The Screen Actors Guild nominations threw a few wrenches into predictions last week when they gave us Black Panther, BlacKkKlansman, Bohemian Rhapsody, Crazy Rich Asians and A Star Is Born. Those followed Motion Picture nominations from the Golden Globes the week before. It also meant that more than a few Oscar hopefuls, even frontrunners, were left off the list. The …

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2019 Oscar Predictions: BEST DIRECTOR (December)

From top: Debra Granik, Lynne Ramsay and Marielle Heller aren’t in the Best Director conversation. They should be. The Golden Globes have nominated Bradley Cooper (A Star Is Born), Alfonso Cuarón (ROMA), Peter Farrelly (Green Book), Spike Lee (BlacKkKlansman) and Adam McKay (Vice). The Critics’ Choice nominated those five plus Damien Chazelle (First Man) and Yorgos Lanthimos (The Favourite). I …

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2019 Oscar Predictions: BEST ACTRESS (December)

Emily Blunt, Mary Poppins Returns (Disney) This is the category you want, that you really really want. The Golden Globes, Screen Actors Guild and Critics’ Choice have spoken and there are some clear leaders (mostly what we knew) but still room for a spoiler (or two) and definitely a major snub (or two!). The Globes, with separate categories for Drama …

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2019 Oscar Predictions: ADAPTED and ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY (December)

BlacKkKlansman (Focus Features)The Favourite (Fox Searchlight) Both of the screenplay categories broke from Best Picture last year when Call Me By Your Name and Get Out, the overwhelming critical favorites, bested The Shape of Water to win their respective Adapted and Original categories. Even since the expansion of the Best Picture category in 2009, the connection between BP and its …

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2019 Oscar Predictions: BEST ACTOR (December)

John David Washington (BlacKkKlansman) Bradley Cooper (A Star Is Born) and Christian Bale (Vice) still hold the top two spots this month but a big swap between #3 and #6 with Ethan Hawke (First Reformed) falling out to make way for Rami Malek (Bohemian Rhapsody). While Hawke has been the clear critics’ favorite this season, with over a dozen wins …

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2019 Oscar Predictions: SUPPORTING ACTOR (December)

Richard E. Grant (Can You Ever Forgive Me?) If it hadn’t been for that weird Golden Globe snub of Sam Elliott (A Star Is Born) this category would be pretty wrapped up in terms of nomination predictions. Still, I think it’s probably the most locked acting category at this point with not a lot of real outliers with a chance …

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2019 Oscar Predictions: SUPPORTING ACTRESS (December)

Amy Adams (Vice)Rachel Weisz (The Favourite)Regina King (If Beale Street Could Talk) When the Screen Actors Guild announced their nominations last week, there was a shockwave sent out with them. In Female Actor in a Supporting Role the nominees were Amy Adams (Vice), Emily Blunt (A Quiet Place), Margot Robbie (Mary Queen of Scots), Emma Stone (The Favourite) and Rachel …

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2019 Oscar Predictions: FILM EDITING and CINEMATOGRAPHY (December)

Vice and Widows make moves into the top 5 for Film Editing after their BFCA noms but the top 10 in Cinematography doesn’t budge an inch.  Guild nominations in both of these categories next month could change that.  Here are my 2019 Oscar predictions in Film Editing for December 19, 2018. Green – moves up; Red – moves down; Blue – chart debut/re-entry 1. ROMA (BFCA)2. A …

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