FINAL 2021 Oscar Nomination Predictions in all 23 categories
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Just cut to the good stuff.
Click on each category for the full breakdown, stats, history and why I’m predicting what and who I am or just cut to the chase and scroll down for only the predictions. Let’s gooooo.
1. The Trial of the Chicago 7 (Netflix) – BAFTA, BFCA, GG, PGA, SAG plus ACE, ADG, ASC, CAS, CSA, DGA, MPSE, WGA
Stuart M. Besser, Matt Jackson, Marc Platt, Tyler Thompson (producers)
2. Nomadland (Searchlight Pictures) – BAFTA, BFCA, GG, PGA plus ACE, MPSE
Frances McDormand, Peter Spears, Mollye Asher, Dan Janvey, Chloé Zhao (producers)
3. Minari (A24) – BFCA, GG (foreign), SAG, PGA plus ACE
Dede Gardner, Jeremy Kleiner, Christina Oh (producers)
4. Promising Young Woman (Focus Features) – BFCA, GG plus ACE, ADG, CDG, CSA, DGA, MUAH, PGA, WGA
Tom Ackerley, Ben Browning, Emerald Fennell, Ashley Fox (producers)
5. Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom (Netflix) – BFCA, PGA, SAG plus ADG, CSA, CDG, MPSE, MUAH, WGA
Todd Black, Denzel Washington, Dany Wolf (producers)
6. Mank (Netflix) – BFCA, GG plus ACE, ADG, ASC, CAS, MPSE, MUAH, VES
David Fincher, Ceán Chaffin, Eric Roth, Douglas Urbanski (producers)
7. Sound of Metal (Amazon Studios) – PGA plus ACE, CAS, CSA, MPSE, WGA
Bert Hamelinck, Sacha Ben Harroche, Bill Benz, Cathy Benz (producers)
8. One Night in Miami… (Amazon Studios) – BFCA, SAG, PGA plus CDG, WGA
Jess Wu Calder, Keith Calder, Jody Klein (producers)
9. Judas and the Black Messiah (Warner Bros) – PGA plus CSA, CDG, WGA
Charles D. King, Ryan Coogler, Shaka King (producers)
If 10. The Father (Sony Pictures Classics) BAFTA, GG
Philippe Carcassonne, Simon Friend, Jean-Louis Livi, David Parfitt, Christophe Spadone (producers)
Watch out for: News of the World (Universal Pictures) – BFCA plus ADG, CAS, MPSE, WGA
Gary Goetzman, Gail Mutrux, Gregory Goodman (producers)
1. Chloé Zhao – Nomadland (Searchlight Pictures) – GG, BAFTA, BFCA, DGA
2. Lee Isaac Chung – Minari (A24) – BAFTA, BFCA, DGA
3. Emerald Fennell – Promising Young Woman (Focus Features) – BFCA, DGA, GG
4. David Fincher – Mank (Netflix) – BFCA, DGA, GG
5. Thomas Vinterberg – Another Round (Samuel Goldwyn Mayer) – BAFTA
Watch out for: Aaron Sorkin – The Trial of the Chicago 7 (Netflix) – BFCA, DGA, GG
- 1. Chadwick Boseman – Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom (Netflix) – BFCA, BAFTA, GG, SAG
- 2. Riz Ahmed – Sound of Metal (Amazon Studios) – BAFTA, BFCA, GG, SAG
- 3. Anthony Hopkins – The Father(Sony Pictures Classics) – BAFTA, BFCA, GG, SAG
- 4. Steven Yeun – Minari (A24) – BFCA, SAG
- 5. Gary Oldman – Mank (Netflix) – BFCA, GG, SAG
Watch out for: Mads Mikkelsen – Another Round (Samuel Goldwyn Mayer) – BAFTA
- 1. Carey Mulligan – Promising Young Woman (Focus Features) – BFCA, GG, SAG
- 2. Andra Day – The United States vs Billie Holiday (Hulu) – BFCA, GG
- 3. Viola Davis – Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom (Netflix) – BFCA, GG, SAG
- 4. Frances McDormand – Nomadland (Searchlight Pictures) – BAFTA, BFCA, GG, SAG
- 5. Vanessa Kirby – Pieces of a Woman (Netflix) – BAFTA, BFCA, GG, SAG
Watch out for: Sidney Flanigan – Never Rarely Sometimes Ever (Focus Features) – BFCA
- 1. Daniel Kaluuya – Judas and the Black Messiah (Warner Bros) – BFCA, GG, SAG, BAFTA longlist, BFCA
- 2. Leslie Odom, Jr. – One Night in Miami… (Amazon Studios) – BAFTA, BFCA, GG, SAG
- 3. Sacha Baron Cohen – The Trial of the Chicago 7 (Netflix) – BFCA, GG, SAG
- 4. Paul Raci – Sound of Metal (Amazon Studios) – BAFTA, BFCA
- 5. Alan S. Kim – Minari (A24) – BAFTA, BFCA (young actor/actress)
Watch out for: Jared Leto – The Little Things (Warner Bros) – GG, SAG
- 1. Youn Yuh-jung – Minari (A24) – BAFTA, BFCA, SAG
- 2. Maria Bakalova – Borat Subsequent Moviefilm (Amazon Studios) – BAFTA, BFCA, GG, SAG
- 3. Olivia Colman – The Father (Sony Pictures Classics) – BFCA, GG, SAG
- 4. Jodie Foster – The Mauritanian (STX Films) – GG
- 5. Glenn Close – Hillbilly Elegy (Netflix) – BFCA, GG, SAG
Watch out for: Amanda Seyfried – Mank (Netflix) – BFCA, GG
- 1. Nomadland (Searchlight Pictures) – BAFTA, BFCA, GG, USC (WGA ineligible)
Chloé Zhao (based on the book “Nomadland: Surviving America in the Twenty-First Century” by Jessica Bruder) - 2. One Night in Miami… (Amazon Studios) – BFCA , USC, WGA
Kemp Powers (based on the play “One Night in Miami…” by Kemp Powers) - 3. Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom (Netflix) – BFCA , USC, WGA
Ruben Santiago-Hudson (based on the play “Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom” by August Wilson) - 4. The Father (Sony Pictures Classics) – BAFTA, BFCA, GG (WGA ineligible)
Christopher Hampton, Florian Zeller (based on the play “Le Père” by Florian Zeller) - 5. First Cow (A24) – BFCA, USC
Kelly Reichardt, Jonathan Raymond (based on the novel “The Half Life” by Jonathan Raymond)
Watch out for: News of the World – BFCA , USC, WGA
- 1. The Trial of the Chicago 7 (Netflix) – BAFTA, BFCA , GG, WGA
Aaron Sorkin - 2. Promising Young Woman (Focus Features) – BAFTA, BFCA , GG, WGA
Emerald Fennell - 3. Minari (A24) – BFCA (WGA ineligible)
Lee Isaac Chung - 4. Mank (Netflix) – BAFTA, BFCA, GG (WGA ineligible)
Jack Fincher - 5. Sound of Metal (Amazon Studios) – BFCA, WGA
Abraham Marder, Darius Marder (screenplay), Derek Cianfrance (story by)
Watch out for: Judas and the Black Messiah (Warner Bros) – WGA
- 1. The Trial of the Chicago 7 (Netflix) – ACE (drama), BAFTA, BFCA
Alan Baumgarten - 2. Sound of Metal (Amazon Studios) – ACE (drama), BAFTA, BFCA
Mikkel E.G. Nielsen - 3. Nomadland (Searchlight Pictures) – ACE (drama), BAFTA, BFCA
Chloé Zhao - 4. Promising Young Woman (Focus Features) – ACE (comedy), BAFTA
Frédéric Thoraval - 5. Minari (A24) – ACE (drama)
Harry Yoon
Watch out for: Mank (Netflix) – ACE, BFCA
- 1. Nomadland (Searchlight Pictures) – ASC, BAFTA, BFCA
Joshua James Richards - 2. Mank (Netflix) – ASC, BAFTA, BFCA
Erik Messerschmidt - 3. News of the World (Universal Pictures) – ASC, BAFTA, BFCA
Dariusz Wolski - 4. Cherry (Apple TV+) – ASC
Newton Thomas Sigel - 5. The Trial of the Chicago 7 (Netflix) – ASC
Phedon Papamichael
Watch out for: Judas and the Black Messiah (Warner Bros) – BAFTA
- 1. Soul (Disney/Pixar) – BAFTA, BFCA, GG, HMMA, SCL
Trent Reznor & Atticus Ross and Jon Batiste - 2. News of the World (Universal Pictures) – BAFTA, BFCA, GG, HMMA, SCL
James Newton Howard - 3. Mank (Netflix) – BAFTA, BFCA, GG, HMMA, SCL
Trent Reznor and Atticus Ross - 4. Minari (A24) – BAFTA, BFCA, HMMA, SCL
Emile Mosseri - 5. The Midnight Sky (Netflix) – BFCA, GG, HMMA
Alexandre Desplat
Watch out for: Tenet (Warner Bros) – BFCA, GG, HMMA, SCL
- 1. “Io Sì” (Seen)” from The Life Ahead (Netflix) – BFCA, HMMA, GG, SCL
Written by Diane Warren, Laura Pausini and Niccolò Agliardi - 2. “Speak Now” from One Night in Miami… (Amazon Studios) – BFCA, GG, HMMA
Written by Leslie Odom, Jr. and Sam Ashworth - 3. “Husavik (My Hometown)” from Eurovision Song Contest: The Story of Fire Saga (Netflix) – BFCA, HMMA, SCL
Written by Fat Max Gsus, Rickard Göransson, and Savan Kotecha - 4. “Fight For You” from Judas and the Black Messiah (Warner Bros) – BFCA, HMMA
Written by H.E.R., D’Mile, Tiara Thomas - 5. “Turntables” from All In: The Fight for Democracy (Amazon Studios) – HMMA
Written by Janelle Monáe, Nathaniel Irvin III, George “George 2.0.” A. Peters II
Watch out for: “Hear My Voice” from The Trial of the Chicago 7
- 1. Sound of Metal (Amazon Studios) – BAFTA, CAS, MPSE (x3)
Phillip Bladh, Nicolas Becker, Jaime Baksht, Michelle Couttolenc, Carlos Cortés, Carolina Santana - 2. News of the World (Universal Pictures) – BAFTA, CAS, MPSE (x3)
John Pritchett, Mike Prestwood Smith, William Miller, Oliver Tarney, Michael Fentum - 3. Greyhound (Apple TV+) – BAFTA, CAS, MPSE (x2)
Odin Benitez, Jason King, Christian P. Minkler, Michael Minkler, Jeff Sawyer - 4. The Trial of the Chicago 7 (Netflix) – CAS, MPSE (x2)
Renee Tondelli, Dan Kenyon, Julian Slater, Michael Babcock, Thomas Varga - 5. Mank (Netflix) – CAS, MPSE
Ren Klyce, Jeremy Molod, David Parker, Nathan Nance, Drew Kunin
Watch out for: The Midnight Sky (Netflix) – MPSE (x2)
- 1. Mank (Netflix) – ADG, BAFTA, BFCA
Donald Graham Burt (production designer), Jan Pascale (set decorator) - 2. News of the World (Universal Pictures) – ADG, BAFTA, BFCA
David Crank (production designer), Elizabeth Keenan (set decorator) - 3. Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom (Netflix) – ADG, BFCA
Mark Ricker (production designer), Karen O’Hara and Diana Stoughton (set decorators) - 4. Tenet (Warner Bros) – ADG, BFCA
Nathan Crowley (production designer), Kathy Lucas (set decorator) - 5. The Personal History of David Copperfield (Searchlight Pictures) – BFCA
Cristina Casali (production designer), Charlotte Dirickx (set decorator)
Watch out for: Mulan (Walt Disney) – ADG
- 1. Mank (Netflix) – BAFTA, BFCA, CDG
Trish Summerville - 2. Emma. (Focus Features) – BAFTA, BFCA, CDG
Alexandra Byrne - 3. Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom (Netflix) – BAFTA, BFCA, CDG
Ann Roth - 4. Mulan (Walt Disney Pictures) – BFCA, CDG
Bina Daigeler - 5. Jingle Jangle: A Christmas Journey (Netflix)
Michael Wilkinson
Watch out for: The Glorias (Roadside Attractions)
- 1. Hillbilly Elegy (Netflix) – BAFTA, BFCA, MUAH (x3)
Eryn Krueger Mekash (makeup department head), Patricia Dehaney (hair department head), Matthew Mungle (prosthetic designer) - 2. Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom (Netflix) – BAFTA, BFCA, MUAH (x2)
Sergio Lopez-Rivera (personal makeup for Viola Davis), Mia Neal (hair department head, wig designer & wig builder), Jamika Wilson (personal hair for Viola Davis) - 3. Pinocchio (Roadside Attractions) – BAFTA, MUAH
Mark Coulier (prosthetic makeup designer), Dalia Colli (makeup artist), Francesco Pegoretti (hair designer) - 4. Mank (Netflix) – BAFTA, BFCA, MUAH
Kimberley Spiteri (hair department head), Gigi Williams (makeup department head) - 5. Emma. (Focus Features) – BFCA
Marese Langan (hair and makeup designer)
Watch out for: Birds of Prey (Warner Bros) – MUAH (x2)
- 1. The Midnight Sky (Netflix) – BAFTA, VES
Matt Kasmir, Chris Lawrence, Dave Watkins, Max Solomon - 2. Tenet (Warner Bros) – BAFTA, BFCA, VES
Andrew Jackson, Andrew Lockley, Scott R. Fisher, Mike Chambers - 3. Welcome to Chechnya (HBO) – VES
Ryan Laney - 4. Mank (Netflix) – BFCA, VES
Wei Zheng, Simon Carr, Pablo Helman, James Pastorius - 5. Mulan (Disney+) – BAFTA, BFCA, VES
Sean Faden, Anders Langlands, Seth Maury, Steve Ingram
Watch out for: The One and Only Ivan (Disney+) – Annie, BAFTA, VES
- 1. Soul (Disney/Pixar) – Annie, BAFTA, BFCA, GG, PGA, VES
Pete Docter, Dana Murray - 2. Wolfwalkers (Apple TV+/Cartoon Saloon) – Annie, BAFTA, BFCA, GG, PGA
Stéphan Roelants, Tomm Moore, Ross Stewart, Paul Young, Nora Twomey - 3. Onward (Pixar) – Annie, BAFTA, BFCA, GG, PGA, VES
Dan Scanlon, Kori Rae - 4. The Croods: A New Age (Universal Pictures/DreamWorks Animation) – Annie, GG, PGA, VES
Mark Swift, Joel Crawford - 5. Over the Moon (Netflix) – BFCA, GG, PGA, VES
Glen Keane, Peilin Chou, Gennie Rim
Watch out for: The Willoughbys (Netflix) – Annie, BFCA, VES
- 1. Collective (Magnolia Selects) – BAFTA, CEH, IDA
Alexander Nanau - 2. Time (Amazon Studios) – BFCA, CEH, IDA, PGA
Garrett Bradley - 3. Welcome to Chechnya (HBO Documentary Films) – DGA, IDA
David France - 4. Crip Camp: A Disability Revolution (Netflix) – BFCA, IDA
James Lebrecht, Nicole Newnham - 5. The Truffle Hunters (Sony Pictures Classics) – DGA, IDA, PGA
Michael Dweck, Gregory Kershaw
Watch out for: My Octopus Teacher (Netflix) – BAFTA, DGA
- 1. Another Round (Denmark, Samuel Goldwyn Mayer) – GG, BAFTA, BFCA
- 2. Quo Vadis, Aida? (Bosnia-Herzegovina, NEON/SUPER LTD) – BAFTA
- 3. Dear Comrades! (Russia, Hulu) – BAFTA
- 4. I’m No Longer Here (Mexico, Netflix)
- 5. Night of the Kings (Ivory Coast, NEON)
Watch out for: Two of Us (France, Magnolia Pictures) – GG, BFCA
ANIMATED, LIVE ACTION, DOCUMENTARY SHORT
ANIMATED SHORT
- 1. Burrow
- 2. Out
- 3. If Anything Happens I Love You
- 4. Genius Loci
- 5. Kapaemahu
DOCUMENTARY SHORT SUBJECT
- 1. Hunger Ward (trailer)
- 2. What Would Sophia Loren Do? (trailer)
- 3. A Concerto Is a Conversation(full film)
- 4. The Speed Cubers
- 5. Colette
LIVE ACTION SHORT
- 1. The Human Voice (trailer)
- 2. The Letter Room
- 3. White Eye
- 4. Feeling Through
- 5. Two Distant Strangers (trailer)
NOMINATION TOTALS
Mank – 10
Minari – 8
Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom – 7
Nomadland – 6
Sound of Metal – 6
The Trial of the Chicago – 6
Promising Young Woman – 5
One Night in Miami – 4
Judas and the Black Messiah – 3