AwardsWatch - Forum Oscar Poll Results

What a difference a month makes! With December being such a busy period of industry and critics awards cramming into a space of about two weeks, you’re gonna see some big changes in December’s predictions. With the Oscar nominations less than two weeks away we’ll have another update for you just before that. As usual, you can always be a part of the vote right here in our forums!

Right now, take a look at some of the big movers going up like The Grand Budapest Hotel in Best Picture and Best Director, Jake Gyllenhaal (Nightcrawler) in Best Actor and Marion Cotillard (Two Days, One Night) in Best Actress. You’ll also spot some precipitous drops from Angelina Jolie’s Unbroken and Bennett Miller’s Foxcatcher. Both films have been yo-yo’s this season but being on the downward spiral right in the middle of Oscar voting is not the place you want to be.

(hover over the graph for more details…)

BEST PICTURE
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01. Birdman – 98% (Nov – 96%) (Oct – 94%) (Sept – 94%) (Aug – 89%) (July – 86%) (June – 81%) (May – 69%)
02. Boyhood – 98% (Nov – 100%) (Oct – 95%) (Sept – 93%) (Aug – 89%) (July – 41% – NEW)
03. The Imitation Game – 97% (Nov – 99%) (Oct – 95%) (Sept – 94%) (Aug – 75%) (July – 64%) (June – 35%)
04. The Grand Budapest Hotel – 94% – New
04. Selma – 94% (Nov – 92%) (Oct – 56%) (Sept – 76%) (Aug – 69%) (July – 65%)
06. The Theory of Everything – 92% (Nov – 87%) (Oct – 66%) (Sept – 62%)
07. Gone Girl – 84% (Nov – 86%) (Oct – 86%) (Sept – 94%) (Aug – 85%) (July – 75%) (June – 81%) (May – 81%)
08. Whiplash – 61% – New
09. Unbroken – 29% (Nov – 80%) (Oct – 72%) (Sept – 78%) (Aug – 73%) (July – 80%) (June – 71%) (May – 67%)
10. Nightcrawler – 22% – New

Off list: Foxcatcher, Interstellar, Into the Woods

BEST DIRECTOR
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01. Richard Linklater, Boyhood – 100% (Nov – 98%) (Oct – 97%) (Sept – 84%) (Aug – 83%) (July – 39% – NEW)
02. Alejandro G. Iñárritu, Birdman – 97% (Nov – 95%) (Oct – 96%) (Sept – 95%) (Aug – 85%) (July – 80%) (June – 67%) (May – 59%)
03. Ava DuVernay, Selma – 93% (Nov – 86%) (Oct – 23%) (Sept – 47%) (Aug – 50%) (July – 42%)
04. Wes Anderson, The Grand Budapest Hotel – 80% – Re-entry
05. David Fincher, Gone Girl – 54% (Nov – 29%) (Oct – 34%) (Sept – 68%) (Aug – 44%) (July – 49%) (June – 47%) (May – 54%)

06. Morten Tyldum, The Imitation Game – 27% (Nov – 77%) (Oct – 62%) (Sept – 41%) (Aug – 37%) (July – 21% – NEW)
07. Mike Leigh, Mr. Turner – 18% (Nov – 7% – Re-entry)
08. Damien Chazelle, Whiplash – 12% (Nov – 6%)
09. Bennett Miller, Foxcatcher – 6% (Nov – 42%) (Oct – 42%) (Sept – 64%) (Aug – 72%) (July – 78%) (June – 80%) (May – 64%)
10. Dan Gilroy, Nightcrawler – 4% – New
10. James Marsh, The Theory of Everything – 4% – New

Off list: Angelina Jolie, Unbroken; Christopher Nolan, Interstellar

BEST ACTOR
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01. Michael Keaton, Birdman – 97% (Nov – 99%) (Oct – 93%) (Sept – 91%) (Aug – 87%) (July – 86%) (June – 78%) (May – 71%)
02. Eddie Redmayne, The Theory of Everything – 96% (Nov – 94%) (Oct – 74%) (Sept – 68% – NEW)
02. Benedict Cumberbatch, The Imitation Game – 93% (Nov – 97%) (Oct – 94%) (Sept – 91%) (Aug – 86%) (July – 63%) (June – 44%)
04. David Oyelowo, Selma – 86% (Nov – 92%) (Oct – 50%) (Sept – 65%) (August – 62%) (July – 50%)
05. Jake Gyllenhaal, Nightcrawler – 59% – New

06. Timothy Spall, Mr. Turner – 21% (Nov – 8%) (Oct – 12% – Re-entry)
07. Steve Carell, Foxcatcher – 20% (Nov – 71%) (Oct – 77%) (Sept – 81%) (Aug – 83%) (July – 84%) (June – 86%) (May – 81%)
08. Ralph Fiennes, The Grand Budapest Hotel – 16% – New
09. Bradley Cooper, American Sniper – 9% (Nov – 5%) (Oct – 46%) (Sept – 14%) (August – 12%)
10. Oscar Isaac, A Most Violent Year – 2% (Nov – 4% – NEW)

Off list: Matthew McConaughey, Interstellar; Jack O’Connell, Unbroken

BEST ACTRESS
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01. Julianne Moore, Still Alice – 98% (Nov – 99%) (Oct – 97%) (Sept – 93% – NEW)
02. Rosamund Pike, Gone Girl – 95% (Nov – 92%) (Oct – 92%) (Sept – 93%) (August – 85%) (July – 79%) (June – 73% (May – 68%)
02. Reese Witherspoon, Wild – 95% (Nov – 95%) (Oct – 90%) (Sept – 89%) (August – 85%) (July – 84%) (June – 78%) (May – 66%)
04. Felicity Jones, The Theory of Everything – 91% (Nov – 96%) (Oct – 79%) (Sept – 56% – NEW)
05. Marion Cotillard, Two Days, One Night – 52% (Nov – 8%) (Oct – 15%) (Sept – 6% – NEW)

06. Jennifer Aniston, Cake – 34% – New
07. Amy Adams, Big Eyes – 17% (Nov – 64%) (Oct – 58%) (Sept – 66%) (August – 80%) (July – 76%) (June – 75%) (May – 81%)
08. Emily Blunt, Into the Woods – 3% (Nov – 14%)
09. Hilary Swank, The Homesman – 2% (20% – Re-entry)
10. Other – 2% (4% – Re-entry)

Off list: Shailene Woodley, The Fault in Our Stars

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
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01. J.K. Simmons, Whiplash – 99% (Nov – 98%) (Oct – 95%) (Sept – 84%) (August – 51%) (July – 32%) (June – 38%)
02. Edward Norton, Birdman – 98% (Nov – 99%) (Oct – 95%) (Sept – 93%) (August – 83%) (July – 82%) (June – 78%) (May – 75%)
03. Ethan Hawke, Boyhood – 98% (Nov – 87%) (Oct – 74%) (Sept – 43%) (August – 13%)
04. Mark Ruffalo, Foxcatcher – 97% (Nov – 90%) (Oct – 88%) (Sept – 92%) (August – 76%) (July – 79%) (June – 77%) (May – 69%)
05. Robert Duvall, The Judge – 49% (Nov – 7% – NEW)

06. Tom Wilkinson, Selma – 26% (Nov – 48%) (Oct – 16%) (Sept – 31%) (August – 49%) (July – 29%)
07. Josh Brolin, Inherent Vice – 18% (Nov – 20%) (Oct – 49%) (Sept – 35%) (August – 52%) (July – 56%) (June – 64%) (May – 64%)
08. Christoph Waltz, Big Eyes – 8% (Nov – 12%) (Oct – 9%) (Sept – 9% – Re-entry)
09. Other – 5%

Off list: Ralph Fiennes, The Grand Budapest Hotel (see Best Actor); Miyavi, Unbroken

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
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01. Patricia Arquette, Boyhood – 97% (Nov – 97%) (Oct – 93%) (Sept – 93%) (August – 80%) (July – 27%)
02. Keira Knightley, The Imitation Game – 94% (Nov – 92%) (Oct – 89%) (Sept – 92%) (August – 60%) (July – 41%) (June – 21%)
03. Emma Stone, Birdman – 91% (Nov – 73%) (Oct – 75%) (Sept – 75%) (August – 65%) (July – 56%) (June – 60%) (May – 57%)
04. Meryl Streep, Into the Woods – 86% (Nov – 87%) (Oct – 61%) (Sept – 12% – NEW)
05. Jessica Chastain, A Most Violent Year – 82% (Nov – 59% – New)

06. Laura Dern, Wild – 13% (Nov – 24%) (Oct – 19%) (Sept – 25%) (August – 31%) (July – 25%) (June 24%)
07. Carmen Ejogo, Selma – 9% (Nov – 15%) (Oct – 44%) (Sept – 71%) (August – 51%) (July – 31% – NEW)
08. Tilda Swinton, Snowpiercer – 8% – New
09. Rene Russo, Nightcrawler – 7% – New
10. Naomi Watts, St. Vincent – 2% – New
10. Other – 2%

Off list: Kristen Stewart, Still Alice; Carrie Coon, Gone Girl; Anna Kendrick, Into the Woods

ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
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01. Gone Girl – 99% (Nov – 96%) (Oct – 96%) (Sept – 94%) (August – 88%) (July – 84%) (May – 82%)
02. The Imitation Game – 97% (Nov – 99%) (Oct – 99%) (Sept – 94%) (August – 83%) (July – 76%) (May – 45%)
03. The Theory of Everything – 94% (Nov – 89%) (Oct – 77%) (Sept – 74% – NEW)
04. Wild – 85% (Nov – 50%) (Oct – 58%) (Sept – 42%) (August – 49%) (July – 53%)
05. Inherent Vice – 82% (Nov – 21%) (Oct – 33%) (Sept – 51%) (August – 80%) (July – 79%) (May – 91%)

06. American Sniper – 10% (Nov – 4%) (Oct – 33%) (Sept – 13% – NEW)
06. Still Alice – 10% (Nov – 56%) (Oct – 42%) (Sept – 49% – NEW)
08. Unbroken – 9% (Nov – 73%) (Oct – 56%) (Sept – 70%) (August – 66%) (July – 76%) (May – 79%)
09. Into the Woods – 5% (Nov – 10% – NEW)
10. Other – 3% (Nov – 3%) (Oct – 3%) (Sept – 6%)

ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
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01. Boyhood – 98% (Nov – 100%) (Oct – 97%) (Sept – 97%) (August – 98%) (July – 95%) (May – 88%)
01. The Grand Budapest Hotel – 98% (Nov – 49%) (Oct – 34%) (Sept – 43%) (August – 83%) (July – 77%) (May – 67%)
03. Birdman – 96% (Nov – 99%) (Oct – 97%) (Sept – 97%) (August – 91%) (July – 91%) (May – 28%)
04. Whiplash – 57% (Nov – 44%) (Oct – 46%) (Sept – 12% – NEW)
05. Selma – 55% (Nov – 83%) (Oct – 38%) (Sept – 58%) (August – 54%) (July – 66% – NEW)

06. Mr. Turner – 46% (Nov – 33%) (Oct – 25%) (Sept – 22%) (August – 46%) (July – 43%) (May – 58%)
07. Nightcrawler – 28% (New)
08. Foxcatcher – 14% (Nov – 66%) (Oct – 62%) (Sept – 82%) (August – 33%) (July – 39%)
09. A Most Violent Year – 6% (Nov – 9%) (Oct – 8%) (Sept – 8%) (August – 24%) (July – 39%)
10. Other – 2%