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Silence remains atop the Best Adapted Screenplay chart and the top four remain the same since the last update in June. Sully rounds out the top 5 but by a very slim margin against the dual #6 films, Lion and Love & Friendship.
Original Screenplay is a bit of a different story in that June’s #1, Loving, tumbles to 4th place and Manchester by the Sea is the new #1 by a healthy margin against the new #2, La La Land. The Birth of a Nation moves up one spot but a big 10 points in the process and Moonlight tumbles a bit due to still no word from A24 on a release, festival showing or even a first look. On the other side, A24’s 20th Century Women is starting to make a move here and I predict it will end up in the top 5 next month.
Here are the August predictions for Best Adapted and Original Screenplay from The Gold Rush Gang:
OTHER CONTENDERS
The Founder
The Girl on the Train
Hidden Figures
The Light Between Oceans
Live by Night
Nocturnal Animals
The Secret Scripture
The Yellow Birds
LISTEN: Oscar Podcast #40: Toronto and Venice Festival Lineups, Updated Oscar Predictions
OTHER CONTENDERS
Allied
Bleed For This
Café Society
Collateral Beauty
Everybody Wants Some!!
LBJ
Miss Sloane
Passengers
Rules Don’t Apply
Una
Follow the updated Gold Rush Gang predictions in other Oscar categories here:
BEST PICTURE
BEST DIRECTOR
BEST ACTOR
BEST ACTRESS
BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
BEST FILM EDITING
BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY
BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN
BEST COSTUME DESIGN
BEST MAKEUP & HAIRSTYLING
BEST ANIMATED FEATURE
BEST VISUAL EFFECTS
BEST SOUND EDITING
BEST SOUND MIXING
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Since Moonlight and Una are both based on plays, shouldn't they be considered adapted screenplays?
Moonlight is an unpublished play so it should qualify as an Original Screenplay. Una, however, should be in Adapted. Thanks for the catch.