2018 Oscar Predictions: BEST DIRECTOR (April)

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Top: Kathryn Bigelow, Alexander Payne
Bottom: Steven Spielberg, Todd Haynes, Joe Wright

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Kathryn Bigelow remains at #1 with her still Untitled Detroit Riots Project but her competitors are starting to chip away at that lead. Strong word of mouth from the 10-minute clips shown at CinemaCon keeps Alexander Payne (Downsizing) at #2 and Todd Haynes (Wonderstruck) at #3.

The big debut entry this month is two-time Best Director Oscar winner Steven Spielberg for The Post. In the month since March predictions, he dropped production of The Kidnapping of Edgardo Mortara to fast-track the Pentagon Papers film that is set to star Meryl Streep and Tom Hanks. This bumps the never-nominated Christopher Nolan (Dunkirk) out of the top five.

LISTEN: Oscar Podcast #53 – CinemaCon Buzz; the Oscars in a post-Moonlight world

Despite the assurance that Paul Thomas Anderson’s fashion project with Daniel Day-Lewis will be a Christmas Day release, PTA’s stock plummets all the way down to #15. On the flip side, Call Me By Your Name‘s Luca Gaudagnino jumps up from the bottom to land at #8 this month.

Piqued interest in Darron Aronofsky’s very secretive mother! starring Jennifer Lawrence and Michelle Pfeiffer moves him up a bit, to #11.

George Clooney enters the list at #13 this month with Suburbicon. He joins Richard Linklater (Last Flag Flying, #15) as the other newcomers.

Green – moves up from last month
Red – moves down from last month
Blue – debut/new entry

MARCH Best Director Predictions

Keep an eye on all of the Gold Rush Gang’s 2018 Oscar predictions updated LIVE throughout the month.

BEST DIRECTOR
ERIK
ANDERSON
BRYAN BONAFEDE
GREG HOWARD
EVAN
KOST
JASON OSIASON
KENNETH
POLISHCHUK
DENIZCAN SÜRÜCÜ
RICHARD
ANTHONY
ŞÜKRÜ SÖĞÜT
MATT DINN
TOTAL
POINTS
1 Kathryn Bigelow – The Untitled Detroit Riots Project 1 3 1 1 8 2 1 2 1 1 89
2 Alexander Payne – Downsizing 3 1 8 3 1 4 2 3 2 3 80
3 Todd Haynes – Wonderstruck 2 2 4 4 2 1 3 8 5 2 77
4 Steven Spielberg – The Post 4 5 3 2 9 3 4 1 3 5 71
5 Joe Wright – Darkest Hour 6 2 7 5 5 5 5 4 6 54
6 Christopher Nolan – Dunkirk 10 4 5 5 3 8 6 7 10 4 48
7 Andrew Haigh – Lean on Pete 8 6 10 10 6 9 4 6 8 32
8 Luca Guadagnino – Call Me By Your Name 7 4 6 7 20
9 Dee Rees – Mudbound 7 7 9 7 7 18
10 Denis Villeneuve – Blade Runner 2049 9 8 9 7 7 9 17
11 Darren Aronofsky – mother! 10 6 8 10 8 10 14
12 Michael Haneke – Happy End 9 6 9 9
13 George Clooney – Suburbicon 5 10 7
13 Dan Gilroy – Inner City (possibly 2018) 6 9 7
15 Paul Thomas Anderson – Untitled Fashion Project 8 10 4
15 Richard Linklater – Last Flag Flying 9 9 4
OTHER CONTENDERS
Aaron Sorkin – Molly’s Game
Alfonso Gómez-Rejón – The Current War
David Gordon Green – Stronger
Garth Davis – Mary Magdalene
Guillermo Del Toro – The Shape of Water
Jordan Peele – Get Out
Martin McDonaugh – Three Bilboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
Michael Gracey – The Greatest Showman
Reginald Hudlin – Marshall
Sebastián Lelio – Disobedience
Stephen Frears – Victoria and Abdul
Woody Allen – Wonder Wheel

 

Erik Anderson

Erik Anderson is the founder/owner and Editor-in-Chief of AwardsWatch and has always loved all things Oscar, having watched the Academy Awards since he was in single digits; making lists, rankings and predictions throughout the show. This led him down the path to obsessing about awards. Much later, he found himself in film school and the film forums of GoldDerby, and then migrated over to the former Oscarwatch (now AwardsDaily), before breaking off to create AwardsWatch in 2013. He is a Rotten Tomatoes-approved critic, accredited by the Cannes Film Festival, Telluride Film Festival, Toronto International Film Festival and more, is a member of the International Cinephile Society (ICS), The Society of LGBTQ Entertainment Critics (GALECA), Critics Choice Association (CCA), San Francisco Bay Area Film Critics Circle (SFBAFCC) and the International Press Academy. Among his many achieved goals with AwardsWatch, he has given a platform to underrepresented writers and critics and supplied them with access to film festivals and the industry and calls the Bay Area his home where he lives with his husband and son.

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