Sat. Oct 24th, 2020

2019 Oscar Predictions: SUPPORTING ACTOR (April) – Chalamet Tops, Stephan James Rises

Don’t cry, Timmy, you’re #1.

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Timothée Chalamet, who earned his first Oscar nomination earlier this year in Best Actor for Call Me By Your Name, is the new crown-wearer in Best Supporting Actor for April with Beautiful Boy (above, with Steve Carell).

The 22-year old is definitely looking at a return to the Dolby in classic ‘afterglow’ nomination style with a searing biopic playing a meth-addicted teen.

Newcomer Stephan James (If Beale Street Could Talk) moves up to the #2 spot as I feel that film getting stronger by the month. Richard E. Grant moves into the top 3 with Can You Ever Forgive Me? but his nomination (which would be his first) feels pretty dependent on his lead, Melissa McCarthy, getting in too. I’m currently predicting that so he’s safe for now.

The first test screening of Adam McKay’s untitled Dick Cheney biopic revealed that Steve Carell (last month’s #1) might not have the role needed for a nomination, much less a win, and that reigning Best Supporting Actor winner Sam Rockwell is the likelier candidate. Interestingly enough, Carell is a contender in Best Actor for two films, including Beautiful Boy (above).

Kyle Chandler, an Emmy-winning television star, moves into the top 5 on the strength of having the strongest supporting role in First Man and that film’s early campaign.

Oscar nominee Daniel Kaluuya (Widows) moves up and Oscar winner Jeff Bridges makes his chart debut with Bad Times at the El Royale.

The Other Contenders list is always going to be rich with choices, especially as any number of my 1-10 start falling away. Boy Erased has Oscar winner Russell Crowe as well as the film’s director Joel Edgerton, Widows has Oscar winners and nominees in Robert Duvall and Liam Neeson, Oscar winner in this category Mahershala Ali (Moonlight) has Green BookAd Astra could find space for Oscar winner Tommy Lee Jones or Honorary Oscar winner Donald Sutherland (to finally earn his first nomination), Sebastian Stan could build off his strong notices from I, Tonya to his role in Destroyer and I’ll keep my eye on Alex Wolff in Hereditary.

Here are my predictions for Best Supporting Actor as of April 18, 2018.

1. Timothée Chalamet – Beautiful Boy
2. Stephan James – If Beale Street Could Talk
3. Richard E. Grant – Can You Ever Forgive Me?
4. Sam Rockwell – Untitled Dick Cheney biopic
5. Kyle Chandler – First Man
6. Jeff Bridges – Bad Times at the El Royale
7. Daniel Kaluuya – Widows
8. Adam Driver – BlacKkKlansman
9. Steve Carell – Untitled Dick Cheney biopic
10. Michael B. Jordan – Black Panther
Casey Affleck – Old Man and the Gun
Mahershala Ali – Green Book
Joe Alwyn – Boy Erased
Jon Bernthal – First Man
Steve Buscemi – Lean on Pete
Russell Crowe – Boy Erased
Robert Duvall – Widows
Joel Edgerton – Boy Erased
Sam Elliott – A Star is Born
Colin Firth – Kursk
Michael Greyeyes – Woman Walks Ahead
Jake Gyllenhaal – Wildlife
Armie Hammer – On the Basis of Sex
Rutger Hauer – The Sisters Brothers
Lucas Hedges – Mid 90s
André Holland – Widows
Oscar Isaac – At Eternity’s Gate
Oscar Isaac – Life Itself
Samuel L. Jackson – Life Itself
Ken Jeong – Crazy Rich Asians
Aaron Taylor Johnson – Outlaw King
Tommy Lee Jones – Ad Astra
Irrfan Khan – Puzzle
Ben Kingsley – Operation Finale
Diego Luna – If Beale Street Could Talk
Matthew McConaughey – White Boy Rick
Scoot McNairy – Destroyer
Lin-Manuel Miranda – Mary Poppins Returns
Liam Neeson – Widows
Chris O’Dowd – Juliet, Naked
Guy Pearce – The Catcher Was a Spy
Jonathan Pryce – The Man Who Killed Don Quixote
Sam Rockwell – Woman Walks Ahead
Mark Ruffalo – Newsflash
Matthias Schoenaerts – Kursk
J.K. Simmons – The Front Runner
Alexander Skarsgård – The Hummingbird Project
Ricardo Scamarccio – Loro
Sebastian Stan – Destroyer
Corey Stoll – First Man
Donald Sutherland – Ad Astra
David Tennant – Mary Queen of Scots
Courtney B. Vance – Ben is Back
Vince Vaughn – Fighting with My Family
Dominic West – Colette
Forest Whitaker – Burden
Alex Wolff – Hereditary

2019 Oscar Predictions: BEST PICTURE (April)

2019 Oscar Predictions: BEST DIRECTOR (April)

2019 Oscar Predictions: BEST ACTOR (April)

2019 Oscar Predictions: BEST ACTRESS (April)

2019 Oscar Predictions: SUPPORTING ACTRESS (April)

2019 Oscar Predictions: ADAPTED and ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY (April)

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