FINAL 2023 Oscar Nomination Predictions in all 23 categories
Can we skip to the good part…
Click on each category for the full break down. Oscar nominations for the 95th Academy Awards will be announced on Tuesday, January 24. Here are my final Oscar nomination predictions in all 23 categories.
BEST PICTURE
| 1. Everything Everywhere All At Once (A24) – BAFTA, CCA, GG, PGA, SAG |
| 2. The Banshees of Inisherin (Searchlight Pictures) – BAFTA, CCA, GG, PGA, SAG |
| 3. TÁR (Focus Features) – BAFTA, CCA, GG, PGA |
| 4. Elvis (Warner Bros) – BAFTA, CCA, GG, PGA |
| 5. The Fabelmans (Universal Pictures) – CCA, GG, PGA, SAG |
| 6. Top Gun: Maverick (Paramount Pictures) – CCA, GG, PGA |
| 7. All Quiet on the Western Front (Netflix) – BAFTA |
| 8. Avatar: The Way of Water (20th Century Studios) – CCA, GG, PGA |
| 9. The Whale (A24) – PGA |
| 10. Triangle of Sadness (NEON) – GG |
DIRECTING
| 1. The Daniels – Everything Everywhere All At Once (A24) – BAFTA, CCA, GG, DGA |
| 2. Steven Spielberg – The Fabelmans (Universal Pictures) – CCA, GG, DGA |
| 3. Martin McDonagh – The Banshees of Inisherin (Searchlight Pictures) – BAFTA, CCA, GG, DGA |
| 4. Todd Field – TÁR (Focus Features) – BAFTA, CCA, DGA |
| 5. Edward Berger – All Quiet on the Western Front (Netflix) – BAFTA |
ACTOR IN A LEADING ROLE
| 1. Brendan Fraser – The Whale (A24) – BAFTA, CCA, GG, SAG |
| 2. Austin Butler – Elvis (Warner Bros) – BAFTA, CCA, GG, SAG |
| 3. Colin Farrell – The Banshees of Inisherin (Searchlight Pictures) – BAFTA, CCA, GG, SAG |
| 4. Bill Nighy – Living (Sony Pictures Classics) – BAFTA, CCA, GG, SAG |
| 5. Paul Mescal – Aftersun (A24) – BAFTA, CCA |
ACTRESS IN A LEADING ROLE
| 1. Cate Blanchett – TÁR (Focus Features) – BAFTA, CCA, GG, SAG |
| 2. Michelle Yeoh – Everything Everywhere All At Once (A24) – BAFTA, CCA, GG, SAG |
| 3. Viola Davis – The Woman King (Sony/TriStar) – BAFTA, CCA, GG, SAG |
| 4. Ana de Armas – Blonde (Netflix) – BAFTA, GG, SAG |
| 5. Danielle Deadwyler – Till (UAR/Orion) – BAFTA, CCA, SAG |
ACTOR IN A SUPPORTING ROLE
| 1. Ke Huy Quan – Everything Everywhere All At Once (A24) – BAFTA, CCA, GG, SAG |
| 2. Brendan Gleeson – The Banshees of Inisherin (Searchlight Pictures) – BAFTA, CCA, GG, SAG |
| 3. Barry Keoghan – The Banshees of Inisherin (Searchlight Pictures) – BAFTA, CCA, GG, SAG |
| 4. Eddie Redmayne – The Good Nurse (Netflix) – BAFTA, GG, SAG |
| 5. Paul Dano – The Fabelmans (Universal Pictures) – CCA, SAG |
ACTRESS IN A SUPPORTING ROLE
| 1. Angela Bassett – Black Panther: Wakanda Forever (Walt Disney/Marvel) – BAFTA, CCA, GG, SAG |
| 2. Kerry Condon – The Banshees of Inisherin (Searchlight Pictures) – BAFTA, CCA, GG, SAG |
| 3. Hong Chau – The Whale (A24) – BAFTA, SAG |
| 4. Dolly De Leon – Triangle of Sadness (NEON) – BAFTA, GG |
| 5. Stephanie Hsu – Everything Everywhere All At Once (A24) – CCA, SAG |
ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
| 1. The Whale (A24) – BAFTA, CCA |
| 2. Women Talking (UAR/Orion) – CCA, GG, USC |
| 3. She Said (Universal Pictures) – BAFTA, CCA, USC |
| 4. Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery (Netflix) – CCA |
| 5. All Quiet on the Western Front (Netflix) – BAFTA |
ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
| 1. The Banshees of Inisherin (Searchlight Pictures) – BAFTA, CCA, GG |
| 2. Everything Everywhere All At Once (A24) – BAFTA, CCA, GG |
| 3. TÁR (Focus Features) – BAFTA, CCA, GG |
| 4. The Fabelmans (Universal Pictures) – BAFTA, CCA, GG |
| 5. Triangle of Sadness (NEON) – BAFTA |
FILM EDITING
| 1. Top Gun: Maverick (Paramount Pictures) – BAFTA, CCA |
| 2. Everything Everywhere All At Once (A24) – BAFTA, CCA |
| 3. Elvis (Warner Bros) – BAFTA, CCA |
| 4. The Banshees of Inisherin (Searchlight Pictures) – BAFTA |
| 5. All Quiet on the Western Front (Netflix) – BAFTA |
CINEMATOGRAPHY
| 1. Top Gun: Maverick (Paramount Pictures) – ASC, BAFTA, CCA |
| 2. Empire of Light (Searchlight Pictures) – ASC, BAFTA, CCA |
| 3. The Fabelmans (Universal Pictures) – CCA |
| 4. Elvis (Warner Bros) – ASC, BAFTA |
| 5. All Quiet on the Western Front (Netflix) – BAFTA |
PRODUCTION DESIGN
| 1. Elvis (Warner Bros) – ADG, BAFTA, CCA, SDSA |
| 2. Babylon (Paramount Pictures) – ADG, BAFTA, CCA, SDSA |
| 3. Avatar: The Way of Water (20th Century Studios) – ADG, CCA, SDSA |
| 4. Black Panther: Wakanda Forever (Walt Disney/Marvel Studios) – ADG, CCA, SDSA |
| 5. The Fabelmans (Universal Pictures) – ADG, CCA, SDSA |
COSTUME DESIGN
| 1. Elvis (Warner Bros) – BAFTA, CDG, CCA |
| 2. Black Panther: Wakanda Forever (Walt Disney/Marvel Studios) – BAFTA longlist, CDG, CCA |
| 3. Babylon (Paramount Pictures) – BAFTA, CDG, CCA |
| 4. Mrs. Harris Goes to Paris (Focus Features) – BAFTA, CDG |
| 5. The Woman King (Sony/TriStar) – CDG, CCA |
ORIGINAL SCORE
| 1. Babylon (Paramount Pictures) – BAFTA, GG, CCA |
| 2. Women Talking (UAR/Orion) – GG, CCA, HMMA |
| 3. Guillermo del Toro’s Pinocchio (Netflix) – BAFTA, GG, CCA, HMMA |
| 4. The Fabelmans (Universal Pictures) – GG, CCA, HMMA |
| 5. The Banshees of Inisherin (Searchlight Pictures) – BAFTA, GG, HMMA |
ORIGINAL SONG
| 1. “Naatu Naatu” from RRR – CCA, GG |
| 2. “Ciao Papa” from Guillermo del Toro’s Pinocchio – CCA, GG, HMMA |
| 3. “Hold My Hand” from Top Gun: Maverick – CCA, GG, HMMA |
| 4. “Lift Me Up” from Black Panther: Wakanda Forever – CCA, GG, HMMA |
| 5. “Applause” from Tell It Like a Woman – HMMA |
SOUND
| 1. Top Gun: Maverick (Paramount Pictures) – BAFTA, CAS, MPSE (2x) |
| 2. Avatar: The Way of Water (20th Century Studios) – BAFTA, CAS, MPSE |
| 3. Elvis (Warner Bros) – BAFTA, CAS, MPSE (2x) |
| 4. All Quiet on the Western Front (Netflix) – BAFTA, CAS, MPSE |
| 5. Everything Everywhere All At Once – MPSE (3x) |
MAKEUP & HAIRSTYLING
| 1. The Whale (A24) – BAFTA, CCA, MUAH |
| 2. The Batman (Warner Bros) – BAFTA, CCA, MUAH (3x) |
| 3. Elvis (Warner Bros) – BAFTA, CCA, MUAH (3x) |
| 4. Blonde (Netflix) – MUAH (2x) |
| 5. Amsterdam (20th Century Studios) – MUAH (2x) |
VISUAL EFFECTS
| 1. Avatar: The Way of Water (20th Century Studios) – BAFTA, CCA, VES |
| 2. Top Gun: Maverick (Paramount Pictures) – BAFTA, CCA, VES |
| 3. The Batman (Warner Bros) – BAFTA, CCA, VES |
| 4. All Quiet on the Western Front (Netflix) – BAFTA |
| 5. Thirteen Lives (Amazon Studios) – VES |
ANIMATED FEATURE
| 1. Guillermo del Toro’s Pinocchio (Netflix) – Annie, BAFTA, CCA, GG, PGA |
| 2. Marcel the Shell with Shoes On (A24) – Annie, BAFTA, CCA, GG, PGA |
| 3. Puss in Boots: The Last Wish (DreamWorks/Universal) – Annie, BAFTA, CCA, GG, PGA |
| 4. Turning Red (Walt Disney/Pixar) – Annie, BAFTA, CCA, GG, PGA |
| 5. My Father’s Dragon (Netflix/Cartoon Saloon) – Annie |
DOCUMENTARY FEATURE
| 1. Navalny – BAFTA, CCA, CEH, IDA, PGA |
| 2. All That Breathes – BAFTA, CEH, IDA, PGA |
| 3. Fire of Love – BAFTA, CCA, CEH, IDA, PGA |
| 4. All the Beauty and the Bloodshed – BAFTA, CEH, IDA |
| 5. The Territory – CEH, PGA |
INTERNATIONAL FEATURE FILM
| 1. Germany, All Quiet on the Western Front (Netflix) – BAFTA, CCA, GG |
| 2. Argentina, Argentina, 1985 (Amazon Studios) – BAFTA, CCA, GG |
| 3. Belgium, Close (A24) – CCA, GG |
| 4. South Korea, Decision to Leave (MUBI) – BAFTA, CCA, GG |
| 5. Poland, EO (JanusFilms/Sideshow) |
ANIMATED SHORT
| 1. The Boy, the Mole, the Fox and the Horse |
| 2. New Moon |
| 3. Ice Merchants |
| 4. My Year of Dicks |
| 5. The Flying Sailor |
DOCUMENTARY SHORT FILM
| 1. 38 at the Garden |
| 2. The Martha Mitchell Effect |
| 3. As Far as They Can Run |
| 4. The Flagmakers |
| 5. Nuisance Bear |
LIVE ACTION SHORT
| 1. Le Pupille |
| 2. Night Ride |
| 3. Ivalu |
| 4. Warsha |
| 5. The Red Suitcase |
Erik Anderson is the founder/owner and Editor-in-Chief of AwardsWatch and has always loved all things Oscar, having watched the Academy Awards since he was in single digits; making lists, rankings and predictions throughout the show. This led him down the path to obsessing about awards. Much later, he found himself in film school and the film forums of GoldDerby, and then migrated over to the former Oscarwatch (now AwardsDaily), before breaking off to create AwardsWatch in 2013.
He is a Rotten Tomatoes-approved critic, accredited by the Cannes Film Festival, Telluride Film Festival, Toronto International Film Festival and more, is a member of the International Cinephile Society (ICS), The Society of LGBTQ Entertainment Critics (GALECA), Hollywood Critics Association (HCA) and the International Press Academy. Among his many achieved goals with AwardsWatch, he has given a platform to underrepresented writers and critics and supplied them with access to film festivals and the industry and calls the Bay Area his home where he lives with his husband and son.
He is a Rotten Tomatoes-approved critic, accredited by the Cannes Film Festival, Telluride Film Festival, Toronto International Film Festival and more, is a member of the International Cinephile Society (ICS), The Society of LGBTQ Entertainment Critics (GALECA), Hollywood Critics Association (HCA) and the International Press Academy. Among his many achieved goals with AwardsWatch, he has given a platform to underrepresented writers and critics and supplied them with access to film festivals and the industry and calls the Bay Area his home where he lives with his husband and son.
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