2015 Oscars: Gold Rush Gang Oscar Predictions August 2014 – Birdman Flies, Boyhood Grows Up, Selma Marches On
| BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY | Erik | Alexander | David | Evan | Jason | Kenneth | Matt L. | Matt M. | Peter | Richard | TOTALS |
| American Sniper (Jason Hall) | 0 | ||||||||||
| Foxcatcher (Dan Futterman and E. Max Frye) | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | 9 | |
| Gone Girl (Gillian Flynn) | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | 7 | |||
| The Hundred-Foot Journey (Steven Knight) | 0 | ||||||||||
| The Imitation Game (Graham Moore) | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | 9 | |
| Inherent Vice (Paul Thomas Anderson) | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | 9 | |
| Into The Woods (James Lapine) | 0 | ||||||||||
| Men, Women and Children (Jason Reitman and Erin Cressida Wilson) | 0 | ||||||||||
| Miss Julie (Liv Ullmann) | 0 | ||||||||||
| Rosewater (Jon Stewart) | 0 | ||||||||||
| The Theory of Everything (Anthony McCarten) | * | 1 | |||||||||
| Trash (Richard Curtis) | 0 | ||||||||||
| Unbroken (Ethan Coen, Joel Coen, Richard LaGravenese, William Nicholson) | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | 8 | ||
| Whiplash (Damien Chazelle) | 0 | ||||||||||
| Wild (Nick Hornby) | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | 7 |
| BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY | Erik | Alexander | David | Evan | Jason | Kenneth | Matt L. | Matt M. | Peter | Richard | TOTALS |
| Big Eyes (Scott Alexander and Larry Karazewski) | 0 | ||||||||||
| Birdman (Armando Bo, Alexander Dinelaris, Nicolas Giabone and Alejandro González Iñárritu) | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | 10 |
| Boyhood (Richard Linklater) | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | 10 |
| The Cobbler (Thomas McCarthy) | 0 | ||||||||||
| The Disappearance of Eleanor Rigby (Ned Benson) | 0 | ||||||||||
| The Drop (Dennis Lehane) | 0 | ||||||||||
| Foxcatcher (Dan Futterman and E. Max Frye) | * | 1 | |||||||||
| Fury (David Ayer) | 0 | ||||||||||
| The Grand Budapest Hotel (Wes Anderson and Hugo Guinness) | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | 10 |
| Interstellar (Christopher Nolan and Jonathan Nolan) | * | * | * | * | 4 | ||||||
| The Judge (Bill Dubuque, Nick Schenk and David Seidler) | 0 | ||||||||||
| Love and Mercy (Oren Moverman) | 0 | ||||||||||
| Magic in the Moonlight (Woody Allen) | 0 | ||||||||||
| A Most Violent Year (J.C. Chandor) | * | 1 | |||||||||
| Mr. Turner (Mike Leigh) | * | * | * | * | * | 5 | |||||
| Nightcrawler (Dan Gilroy) | 0 | ||||||||||
| Selma (Ana DuVernay, Paul Webb) | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | 9 | |
| St. Vincent (Theodore Melfi) | 0 | ||||||||||
| Untitled Lance Armstrong Project (John Hodge) | 0 | ||||||||||
| While We’re Young (Noah Baumbach) | 0 |
Nest Up: Film Editing, Cinematography, Costume Design, Production Design and Makeup & Hairstyling
Erik Anderson is the founder/owner and Editor-in-Chief of AwardsWatch and has always loved all things Oscar, having watched the Academy Awards since he was in single digits; making lists, rankings and predictions throughout the show. This led him down the path to obsessing about awards. Much later, he found himself in film school and the film forums of GoldDerby, and then migrated over to the former Oscarwatch (now AwardsDaily), before breaking off to create AwardsWatch in 2013.
He is a Rotten Tomatoes-approved critic, accredited by the Cannes Film Festival, Telluride Film Festival, Toronto International Film Festival and more, is a member of the International Cinephile Society (ICS), The Society of LGBTQ Entertainment Critics (GALECA), Hollywood Critics Association (HCA) and the International Press Academy. Among his many achieved goals with AwardsWatch, he has given a platform to underrepresented writers and critics and supplied them with access to film festivals and the industry and calls the Bay Area his home where he lives with his husband and son.
He is a Rotten Tomatoes-approved critic, accredited by the Cannes Film Festival, Telluride Film Festival, Toronto International Film Festival and more, is a member of the International Cinephile Society (ICS), The Society of LGBTQ Entertainment Critics (GALECA), Hollywood Critics Association (HCA) and the International Press Academy. Among his many achieved goals with AwardsWatch, he has given a platform to underrepresented writers and critics and supplied them with access to film festivals and the industry and calls the Bay Area his home where he lives with his husband and son.
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I love this, I deeply hope it gets update through the season, and that, this format will continue for winner and nominee predictions.
Thanks for the support Jim, we’re planning on it!
People are overestimating Boyhood, IMHO. The current hype helps people forget how competitive things can get by mid-autumn and I don’t think that an IFC production can summon a campaign that can compete with more bait-y contenders.
IFC has been very vocal about mounting a campaign for Boyhood so we have to believe that. It is the biggest critical hit of the decade and is proving to be a box office success as well. Critics will be able to keep the film afloat and in conversation through awards season and, as every year, some of those mid-autumn and Christmas Oscar hopefuls will end up being non-starters.
I hear you, Tyler but IFC has been pretty vocal about mounting a campaign for ‘Boyhood’ and that it plans to keep the film in theaters through awards season. Every year has a summer indie that hits the mark with critics that push it through to the end, sometimes with very good results. Beasts of the Southern Wild is a good, recent example. Plus, with so many Oscar hopefuls packed into the short run of the end of the year, a handful of them will be non-starters and begin falling to the side.