2015 Summer Box Office Predictions

8. Magic Mike XXL/San Andreas – $155M – July 1/May 29

Is it a risk to think Magic Mike XXL can beat its predecessor by over $40M? Yeah, it is. The original was a massive breakout of the 2012 summer season mainly because it was a fresh idea and superb counterprogramming. This time we don’t have Matthew McConaughey (or Alex Pettyfer, for that matter) so will it still play? Channing Tatum has had a pretty good three years since then (save Jupiter Ascending) so I’m inclined to say yes.

San Andreas could go either way. Disaster films haven’t done as well as they used to but then The Rock, er, Dwayne Johnson, has probably never been as popular as he is right now. Sure, Hercules failed to light up the box office last summer but there hasn’t been a successful sword & sandal epic in quite some time. Worry that an earthquake action film so soon after the Nepal disaster has some people concerned about timing but since when has an audience cared that much about world events to get in the way of their summer movie-going experience?
[divider]
7. Mad Max: Fury Road – $175M – May 15

Could this movie look any better? I know this looks like a pretty bold prediction, not many R-rated films hit this high and many are comedies. Maybe it’s just internet hysteria but I really feel like this desert opera actioner is the type of film that will bring it fans of the original Mad Max series and everyone looking for something that isn’t quite so superhero infused.

• Author
• Recent Posts

Erik Anderson

Erik Anderson is the founder/owner and Editor-in-Chief of AwardsWatch and has always loved all things Oscar, having watched the Academy Awards since he was in single digits; making lists, rankings and predictions throughout the show. This led him down the path to obsessing about awards. Much later, he found himself in film school and the film forums of GoldDerby, and then migrated over to the former Oscarwatch (now AwardsDaily), before breaking off to create AwardsWatch in 2013.

He is a Rotten Tomatoes-approved critic, accredited by the Cannes Film Festival, Telluride Film Festival, Toronto International Film Festival and more, is a member of the International Cinephile Society (ICS), The Society of LGBTQ Entertainment Critics (GALECA), Hollywood Critics Association (HCA) and the International Press Academy. Among his many achieved goals with AwardsWatch, he has given a platform to underrepresented writers and critics and supplied them with access to film festivals and the industry and calls the Bay Area his home where he lives with his husband and son.

Latest posts by Erik Anderson (see all)

• 2025 Oscar Predictions: SUPPORTING ACTOR (November) - November 21, 2024
• 2025 Oscars: Eligibility Lists for Animated Feature, Documentary Feature and International Feature Film for the 97th Academy Awards - November 21, 2024
• Nava Mau, Sean Wang Among 2024 BAFTA Breakthroughs Championing New ‘Must-Watch’ Creatives - November 21, 2024