Virtually unmoved top 10 outside of Searchlight’s Poor Things off the 2022 calendar and A24’s The Whale securely on it. It won’t be easy for the one-time Best Picture-winning studio to nab two spots, it’s struggled in recent years when they’ve had too many prospects to support and campaign for but if Brendan Fraser is going to win Best Actor, the need for a corresponding Best Picture nomination as we are in a 12-year streak of it right now.
Even in only June (the last day, nonetheless) it is starting to feel like we know what the studio priorities are going to be almost across the board, at least for the likes of Apple, Universal, SPC, Paramount and 20th while Netflix is still a bit of a blur. Although I have Alejandro G. Iñárritu’s Bardo, False Chronicle of a Handful of Truths as their main push, the controversies and stigma surrounding the film (sketchy on-set COVID protocols) and the streamer licking its wounds from yet another 2nd place Best Picture finish, I wonder if they’ll keep their strategy a little closer to the vest this season.
Here are my 2023 Oscar predictions in Best Picture for June 2022.
Green – moves up ↑ Red – moves down ↓ Blue – new entry ♦
1. The Fabelmans (Universal Pictures)
2. Killers of the Flower Moon (Apple Original Films)
3. Babylon (Paramount Pictures)
4. Bardo, False Chronicle of a Handful of Truths (Netflix)
5. Everything Everywhere All at Once (A24)
6. Avatar: The Way of Water (20th Century Studios)
7. Women Talking (MGM/UAR)
8. The Son (Sony Pictures Classics)
9. The Whale (A24)
10. Empire of Light (Searchlight Pictures) – 2022 or 2023?
11. TÁR (Focus Features)
12. Thirteen Lives (Amazon Studios/MGM/UAR)
13. Broker (NEON)
14. The Banshees of Inisherin (Searchlight Pictures)
15. Elvis (Warner Bros)
16. She Said (Universal Pictures)
17. White Noise (Netflix)
18. Napoleon (Apple Original Films) – 2022 or 2023?
19. Triangle of Sadness (NEON)
20. Shirley (Netflix)
Other contenders (alphabetical):
Without distribution
Photo: Sam Aronov/Shutterstock
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