Ryan Gosling (Barbie) leap frogs over Robert Downey Jr. (Oppenheimer) this month but otherwise the lineup is not finding itself easy to move around. The top four of Gosling, Downey Jr., Robert De Niro (Killers of the Flower Moon) and Mark Ruffalo (Poor Things) feels almost impenetrable with that 5th spot a real right between four-time previous nominee Willem Dafoe and newcomer Charles Melton (May December).
The recency bias of this category to have two nominees from the same film is definitely lording over it and logic says Dafoe should make it in over Melton. But the latter’s reviews are across the board great, even naming him best in show in a film with Oscar winners Natalie Portman and Julianne Moore, no small feat. But it’s not even November, lots can change, as it often does.
The Screen Actors Guild (who are still currently under strike) will reveal their nominations on January 10, 2024 and the 30th SAG Awards will be held on February 24. Oscar nominations will be announced on January 23 and the 96th Academy Awards will be held on March 10.
Here are my 2024 Oscar predictions in Supporting Actor for October 2023.
Next up: Matt Damon – Oppenheimer (Universal Pictures), Jacob Elordi – Priscilla (A24), John Magaro – Past Lives (A24), Holt McCallany – The Iron Claw (A24) (▲), Jeremy Allen White – The Iron Claw (A24)
Other contenders:
Photo: François Duhamel / Courtesy of Netflix
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