FINAL 2022 Oscar Predictions in all 23 categories

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The time has come. The guilds have spoken. The show is tomorrow. Here are my final Oscar predictions for the 94th Academy Awards. Click on the category title for the full breakdown.

BEST PICTURE

Prediction: The Power of the Dog (Netflix)
Jane Campion, Tanya Seghatchian, Emile Sherman, Iain Canning and Roger Frappier, Producers

Spoiler: CODA (Apple Original Films)
Philippe Rousselet, Fabrice Gianfermi and Patrick Wachsberger, Producers

BEST DIRECTOR

Prediction: Jane Campion – The Power of the Dog (Netflix)

Spoiler: Kenneth Branagh – Belfast (Focus Features)

BEST ACTOR

Prediction: Will Smith – King Richard (Warner Bros/HBO Max)

Spoiler: Benedict Cumberbatch – The Power of the Dog (Netflix)

BEST ACTRESS

Prediction: Jessica Chastain – The Eyes of Tammy Faye (Searchlight Pictures)

Spoiler: Penélope Cruz – Parallel Mothers (Sony Pictures Classics)

SUPPORTING ACTOR

Prediction: Troy Kotsur – CODA (Apple Original Films)

Spoiler: Kodi Smit-McPhee – The Power of the Dog (Netflix)

SUPPORTING ACTRESS

Prediction: Ariana DeBose – West Side Story (20th Century Studios)

Spoiler: Kirsten Dunst – The Power of the Dog (Netflix)

ADAPTED SCREENPLAY

Prediction: The Power of the Dog – Jane Campion (Netflix)

Spoiler: CODA – Siân Heder (Apple Original Films) 

ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY

Prediction: Belfast – Kenneth Branagh (Focus Features)

Spoiler: Don’t Look Up – Adam McKay, David Sirota (Netflix)

FILM EDITING

Prediction: Dune (Warner Bros/HBO Max)
Joe Walker 

Spoiler: The Power of the Dog (Netflix)
Peter Sciberras

CINEMATOGRAPHY

Prediction: The Power of the Dog (Netflix)
Ari Wegner

Spoiler: Dune (Warner Bros/HBO Max)
Greig Fraser

PRODUCTION DESIGN

Prediction: Nightmare Alley (Searchlight Pictures)
Production Design: Tamara Deverell; Set Decoration: Shane Vieau

Spoiler: Dune (Warner Bros/HBO Max)
Production Design: Patrice Vermette; Set Decoration: Zsuzsanna Sipos

COSTUME DESIGN

Prediction: Cruella (Walt Disney)
Jenny Beavan

Spoiler: Dune (Warner Bros/HBO Max)
Jacqueline West and Robert Morgan 

ORIGINAL SCORE

Prediction: Dune (Warner Bros/HBO Max)
Hans Zimmer

Spoiler: The Power of the Dog (Netflix)
Jonny Greenwood

ORIGINAL SONG

Prediction: “No Time to Die” from No Time to Die (MGM/UAR) 
Music and Lyric by Billie Eilish and Finneas O’Connell

Spoiler: “Dos Oruguitas” from Encanto (Walt Disney)
Music and Lyric by Lin-Manuel Miranda

SOUND

Prediction: Dune (Warner Bros/HBO Max)
Mac Ruth, Mark Mangini, Theo Green, Doug Hemphill and Ron Bartlett

Spoiler: No Time to Die (MGM/UAR)
Simon Hayes, Oliver Tarney, James Harrison, Paul Massey and Mark Taylor 

MAKEUP AND HAIRSTYLING

Prediction: The Eyes of Tammy Faye (Searchlight Pictures)
Linda Dowds, Stephanie Ingram and Justin Raleigh

Spoiler: Dune (Warner Bros/HBO Max)
Donald Mowat, Love Larson and Eva von Bahr  

VISUAL EFFECTS

Prediction: Dune (Warner Bros/HBO Max)
Paul Lambert, Tristan Myles, Brian Connor and Gerd Nefzer

Spoiler: Shang-Chi and the Legend of the Ten Rings (Walt Disney/Marvel Studios)
Christopher Townsend, Joe Farrell, Sean Noel Walker and Dan Oliver

ANIMATED FEATURE

Prediction: Encanto (Walt Disney)
Jared Bush, Byron Howard, Yvett Merino and Clark Spencer

Spoiler: The Mitchells vs the Machines (Netflix)
Mike Rianda, Phil Lord, Christopher Miller and Kurt Albrecht 

DOCUMENTARY FEATURE

Prediction: Summer of Soul (Searchlight Pictures/Hulu)
Ahmir “Questlove” Thompson, Joseph Patel, Robert Fyvolent and David Dinerstein

Spoiler: Flee (NEON)
Jonas Poher Rasmussen, Monica Hellström, Signe Byrge Sørensen and Charlotte De La Gournerie

INTERNATIONAL FEATURE FILM

Prediction: Drive My Car (Japan)
Spoiler: The Worst Person in the World (Norway)

ANIMATED SHORT

Prediction: Robin Robin (Netflix)
Spoiler: Boxballet (Melnitsa Animation Studio)

DOCUMENTARY SHORT SUBJECT

Prediction: The Queen of Basketball (The New York Times)
Spoiler: Audible (Netflix)

LIVE ACTION SHORT

Prediction: The Long Goodbye (WePresent)
Spoiler: Ala Kachuu – Take and Run (Salaud Morisset) 

Erik Anderson

Erik Anderson is the founder/owner and Editor-in-Chief of AwardsWatch and has always loved all things Oscar, having watched the Academy Awards since he was in single digits; making lists, rankings and predictions throughout the show. This led him down the path to obsessing about awards. Much later, he found himself in film school and the film forums of GoldDerby, and then migrated over to the former Oscarwatch (now AwardsDaily), before breaking off to create AwardsWatch in 2013. He is a Rotten Tomatoes-approved critic, accredited by the Cannes Film Festival, Telluride Film Festival, Toronto International Film Festival and more, is a member of the International Cinephile Society (ICS), The Society of LGBTQ Entertainment Critics (GALECA), Hollywood Critics Association (HCA) and the International Press Academy. Among his many achieved goals with AwardsWatch, he has given a platform to underrepresented writers and critics and supplied them with access to film festivals and the industry and calls the Bay Area his home where he lives with his husband and son.

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