FINAL 2024 Oscar Predictions in all 23 Categories

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Just the lists. For in-depth analysis click on the category title for more! The 96th Academy Awards are this Sunday, March 10.

BEST PICTURE

1. Oppenheimer (Universal Pictures) – BAFTA, CCA, GG, PGA, SAG
Emma Thomas, Charles Roven and Christopher Nolan, Producers
2. American Fiction (Amazon MGM) – CCA, GG, PGA, SAG
Ben LeClair, Nikos Karamigios, Cord Jefferson and Jermaine Johnson, Producers
3. The Holdovers (Focus Features) – BAFTA, CCA, GG, PGA
Mark Johnson, Producer
4. Poor Things (Searchlight Pictures) – BAFTA, CCA, GG, PGA
Ed Guiney, Andrew Lowe, Yorgos Lanthimos and Emma Stone, Producers
5. Anatomy of a Fall (NEON) – BAFTA, GG, PGA
Marie-Ange Luciani and David Thion, Producers
6. Killers of the Flower Moon (Apple Original Films) – BAFTA, CCA, GG, PGA, SAG
Dan Friedkin, Bradley Thomas, Martin Scorsese and Daniel Lupi, Producers
7. Barbie (Warner Bros) – CCA, GG, PGA, SAG
David Heyman, Margot Robbie, Tom Ackerley and Robbie Brenner, Producers
8. Maestro (Netflix) – CCA, GG, PGA
Bradley Cooper, Steven Spielberg, Fred Berner, Amy Durning and Kristie Macosko Krieger, Producers
9. The Zone of Interest (A24) – GG, PGA
James Wilson, Producer
10. Past Lives (A24) – CCA, GG, PGA
David Hinojosa, Christine Vachon and Pamela Koffler, Producers

BEST DIRECTOR

1. Christopher Nolan for Oppenheimer (BAFTA, CCA, DGA, GG)
2. Justine Triet for Anatomy of a Fall (BAFTA)
3. Yorgos Lanthimos for Poor Things (CCA, DGA, GG)
4. Jonathan Glazer for The Zone of Interest (BAFTA)
5. Martin Scorsese for Killers of the Flower Moon (CCA, DGA, GG)

BEST ACTOR

1. Cillian Murphy in Oppenheimer (BAFTA, CCA, GG, SAG
2. Paul Giamatti in The Holdovers (BAFTA, CCA, GG, SAG)
3. Bradley Cooper in Maestro (BAFTA, CCA, GG, SAG)
4. Jeffrey Wright in American Fiction (CCA, GG, SAG)
5. Colman Domingo in Rustin (BAFTA, CCA, GG, SAG)

BEST ACTRESS

1. Lily Gladstone in Killers of the Flower Moon (CCA, GG, SAG)
2. Emma Stone in Poor Things (BAFTA, CCA, GG, SAG)
3. Sandra Hüller in Anatomy of a Fall (BAFTA, CCA, GG)
4. Annette Bening in Nyad (GG, SAG)
5. Carey Mulligan in Maestro (BAFTA, CCA, GG, SAG)

SUPPORTING ACTOR

1. Robert Downey Jr. in Oppenheimer (BAFTA, CCA, GG, SAG)
2. Ryan Gosling in Barbie (BAFTA, CCA, GG, SAG)
3. Sterling K. Brown in American Fiction (CCA, SAG)
4. Robert De Niro in Killers of the Flower Moon (BAFTA, CCA, GG, SAG)
5. Mark Ruffalo in Poor Things (CCA, SAG)

SUPPORTING ACTRESS

1. Da’Vine Joy Randolph in The Holdovers (BAFTA, CCA, GG, SAG)
2. America Ferrera in Barbie (CCA)
3. Emily Blunt in Oppenheimer (BAFTA, CCA, GG, SAG)
4. Jodie Foster in Nyad (CCA, GG, SAG)
5. Danielle Brooks in The Color Purple (BAFTA, CCA, GG, SAG)

ADAPTED SCREENPLAY

1. American Fiction (BAFTA, CCA, USC, WGA)
Written for the screen by Cord Jefferson
2. Barbie (BAFTA,* CCA,* GG, WGA*)
Written by Greta Gerwig & Noah Baumbach
3. Oppenheimer (BAFTA, CCA, GG, USC, WGA)
Written for the screen by Christopher Nolan
4. Poor Things (BAFTA, CCA, GG, USC)
Screenplay by Tony McNamara
5. The Zone of Interest (BAFTA)
Written by Jonathan Glazer

ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY

1. Anatomy of a Fall (BAFTA, GG)
Screenplay – Justine Triet and Arthur Harari
2. Past Lives (BAFTA, CCA, GG, WGA)
Written by Celine Song
3. The Holdovers (BAFTA, CCA, WGA)
Written by David Hemingson
4. Maestro (BAFTA, CCA)
Written by Bradley Cooper & Josh Singer
5. May December (WGA)
Screenplay by Samy Burch; Story by Samy Burch & Alex Mechanik

FILM EDITING

1. Oppenheimer (ACE, BAFTA, CCA)
Jennifer Lame
2. Anatomy of a Fall (ACE, BAFTA)
Laurent Sénéchal
3. The Holdovers (ACE)
Kevin Tent
4. Killers of the Flower Moon (ACE, BAFTA, CCA)
Thelma Schoonmaker
5. Poor Things (ACE, BAFTA, CCA)
Yorgos Mavropsaridis

CINEMATOGRAPHY

1. Oppenheimer (ASC, BAFTA, CCA)
Hoyte van Hoytema
2. Poor Things (ASC, BAFTA, CCA)
Robbie Ryan
3. Maestro (ASC, BAFTA, CCA)
Matthew Libatique
4. Killers of the Flower Moon (ASC, BAFTA, CCA)
Rodrigo Prieto
5. El Conde (ASC)
Edward Lachman

PRODUCTION DESIGN

1. Poor Things (ADG, BAFTA, CCA, SDSA)
Production Design: James Price and Shona Heath; Set Decoration: Zsuzsa Mihalek
2. Barbie (ADG, BAFTA, CCA, SDSA)
Production Design: Sarah Greenwood; Set Decoration: Katie Spencer
3. Oppenheimer (ADG, BAFTA, CCA, SDSA)
Production Design: Ruth De Jong; Set Decoration: Claire Kaufman
4. Killers of the Flower Moon (ADG, BAFTA, CCA, SDSA)
Production Design: Jack Fisk; Set Decoration: Adam Willis
5. Napoleon (ADG, SDSA)
Production Design: Arthur Max; Set Decoration: Elli Griff

COSTUME DESIGN

1. Barbie (BAFTA, CDG, CCA)
Jacqueline Durran
2. Poor Things (BAFTA, CDG, CCA)
Holly Waddington
3. Oppenheimer (BAFTA, CDG)
Ellen Mirojnick
4. Killers of the Flower Moon (BAFTA, CDG, CCA)
Jacqueline West
5. Napoleon (BAFTA, CDG, CCA)
Janty Yates and Dave Crossman

ORIGINAL SCORE

1. Oppenheimer (BAFTA, CCA, GG, HMMA, SCL)
Ludwig Göransson
2. Killers of the Flower Moon (BAFTA, CCA, GG, HMMA, SCL)
Robbie Robertson
3. Poor Things (BAFTA, CCA, GG)
Jerskin Fendrix
4. American Fiction (HMMA, SCL)
Laura Karpman
5. Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny
John Williams

ORIGINAL SONG

1. “What Was I Made For?” from Barbie (CCA, GG, HMMA, SCL)
Music and Lyric by Billie Eilish and Finneas O’Connell
2. “I’m Just Ken” from Barbie (CCA, GG, HMMA, SCL)
Music and Lyric by Mark Ronson and Andrew Wyatt
3. “Wahzhazhe (A Song For My People)” from Killers of the Flower Moon
Music and Lyric by Scott George
4. “The Fire Inside” from Flamin’ Hot (HMMA, SCL)
Music and Lyric by Diane Warren
5. “It Never Went Away” from American Symphony
Music and Lyric by Jon Batiste and Dan Wilson

SOUND

1. Oppenheimer (BAFTA, CAS, MPSE x2)
Willie Burton, Richard King, Gary A. Rizzo and Kevin O’Connell
2. Maestro (BAFTA, CAS, MPSE)
Steven A. Morrow, Richard King, Jason Ruder, Tom Ozanich and Dean Zupancic
3. The Zone of Interest
Tarn Willers and Johnnie Burn (BAFTA, MPSE)
4. The Creator
Ian Voigt, Erik Aadahl, Ethan Van der Ryn, Tom Ozanich and Dean Zupancic
5. Mission: Impossible – Dead Reckoning Part One (BAFTA, MPSE)
Chris Munro, James H. Mather, Chris Burdon and Mark Taylor

MAKEUP AND HAIRSTYLING

1. Maestro (BAFTA, CCA, MUAH)
Kazu Hiro, Kay Georgiou and Lori McCoy-Bell
2. Poor Things (BAFTA, CCA, MUAH)
Nadia Stacey, Mark Coulier and Josh Weston
3. Oppenheimer (BAFTA, CCA, MUAH)
Luisa Abel
4. Golda (BAFTA, MUAH)
Karen Hartley Thomas, Suzi Battersby and Ashra Kelly-Blue
5. Society of the Snow
Ana López-Puigcerver, David Martí and Montse Ribé

VISUAL EFFECTS

1. The Creator (BAFTA, CCA, VES)
Jay Cooper, Ian Comley, Andrew Roberts and Neil Corbould
2. Napoleon (BAFTA, VES*)
Charley Henley, Luc-Ewen Martin-Fenouillet, Simone Coco and Neil Corbould
3. Godzilla Minus One (VES*)
Takashi Yamazaki, Kiyoko Shibuya, Masaki Takahashi and Tatsuji Nojima
4. Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 3 (BAFTA, CCA, VES)
Stephane Ceretti, Alexis Wajsbrot, Guy Williams and Theo Bialek
5. Mission: Impossible – Dead Reckoning Part One (BAFTA, CCA, VES*)
Alex Wuttke, Simone Coco, Jeff Sutherland and Neil Corbould

ANIMATED FEATURE

1. Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse (Annie, BAFTA, CCA, GG, PGA)
Kemp Powers, Justin K. Thompson, Phil Lord, Christopher Miller and Amy Pascal
2. The Boy and the Heron (Annie, BAFTA, CCA, GG, PGA)
Hayao Miyazaki and Toshio Suzuki
3. Elemental (BAFTA, CCA, GG, PGA)
Peter Sohn and Denise Ream
4. Nimona (Annie, CCA)
Nick Bruno, Troy Quane, Karen Ryan and Julie Zackary
5. Robot Dreams
Pablo Berger, Ibon Cormenzana, Ignasi Estapé and Sandra Tapia Díaz

DOCUMENTARY FEATURE

1. 20 Days in Mariupol (BAFTA, CCA, CEH, PGA)
Mstyslav Chernov, Michelle Mizner and Raney Aronson-Rath
2. Bobi Wine: The People’s President (IDA)
Moses Bwayo, Christopher Sharp and John Battsek
3. The Eternal Memory (CCA, CEH)
Nominees to be determined
4. To Kill a Tiger
Nisha Pahuja, Cornelia Principe and David Oppenheim
5. Four Daughters (CEH)
Kaouther Ben Hania and Nadim Cheikhrouha

INTERNATIONAL FEATURE

1. The Zone of Interest (BAFTA, CCA, GG)
United Kingdom
2. Society of the Snow (BAFTA, CCA, GG)
Spain
3. Perfect Days (CCA)
Japan
4. The Teachers’ Lounge
Germany
5. Io Capitano (GG)
Italy

ANIMATED SHORT

1. WAR IS OVER! Inspired by the Music of John & Yoko (ElectroLeague)
Dave Mullins (director), Brad Booker, Sophie Cherry (producers)
2. Ninety-Five Senses (Documentary+)
Jerusha Hess and Jared Hess
3. Letter to a Pig (Miyu Distribution)
Tal Kantor and Amit R. Gicelter
4. Pachyderme (Miyu Distribution)
Stéphanie Clément and Marc Rius
5. Our Uniform (TBD)
Yegane Moghaddam

DOCUMENTARY SHORT

1. The Last Repair Shop (L.A. Times Studios/Searchlight Pictures)
Ben Proudfoot and Kris Bowers
2. The ABCs of Book Banning (MTV Documentary Films/Paramount+)
Sheila Nevins and Trish Adlesic
3. Nǎi Nai & Wài Pó (Walt Disney Pictures)
Sean Wang and Sam Davis
4. The Barber of Little Rock (Story Syndicate)
John Hoffman and Christine Turner
5. Island in Between (The New York Times Op-Docs)
S. Leo Chiang and Jean Tsien

LIVE ACTION SHORT

1. Red, White and Blue (TBD)
Nazrin Choudhury and Sara McFarlane
2. The After (Netflix)
Misan Harriman and Nicky Bentham
3. The Wonderful Story of Henry Sugar (Netflix)
Wes Anderson and Steven Rales
4. Knight of Fortune (Jalabert Production)
Lasse Lyskjær Noer and Christian Norlyk
5. Invincible (H264 Distribution)
Vincent René-Lortie and Samuel Caron
Erik Anderson

Erik Anderson is the founder/owner and Editor-in-Chief of AwardsWatch and has always loved all things Oscar, having watched the Academy Awards since he was in single digits; making lists, rankings and predictions throughout the show. This led him down the path to obsessing about awards. Much later, he found himself in film school and the film forums of GoldDerby, and then migrated over to the former Oscarwatch (now AwardsDaily), before breaking off to create AwardsWatch in 2013. He is a Rotten Tomatoes-approved critic, accredited by the Cannes Film Festival, Telluride Film Festival, Toronto International Film Festival and more, is a member of the International Cinephile Society (ICS), The Society of LGBTQ Entertainment Critics (GALECA), Hollywood Critics Association (HCA) and the International Press Academy. Among his many achieved goals with AwardsWatch, he has given a platform to underrepresented writers and critics and supplied them with access to film festivals and the industry and calls the Bay Area his home where he lives with his husband and son.

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