FINAL 2024 Oscar Predictions: SUPPORTING ACTOR

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Like Da’Vine Joy Randolph in Supporting Actress, Robert Downey Jr. (Oppenheimer) made a clean sweep of the precursors and even led regional critics wins, although he missed all of the trifecta (LAFCA/NYFCC/NSFC) wins.

In his winner speeches so far, Downey Jr. has largely been the opposite of Randolph’s self-effacing nature; there is a clear sense from him that he knows his history and legacy have been a big part of path this season. It doesn’t hurt that he’s the eventual Best Picture winner but Downey has had a storied Hollywood career of some pretty big ups and downs, a narrative that the Academy loves, that audiences love.

Early on it seemed that Ryan Gosling’s comic turn in Barbie could give chase, and he pulled off more than a dozen critics wins, but it wasn’t Kenough to get past Downey Jr.’s villainous Strauss.

Here are my final 2024 Oscar predictions for Supporting Actor.

1. Robert Downey Jr. in Oppenheimer (BAFTA, CCA, GG, SAG)
2. Ryan Gosling in Barbie (BAFTA, CCA, GG, SAG)
3. Sterling K. Brown in American Fiction (CCA, SAG)
4. Robert De Niro in Killers of the Flower Moon (BAFTA, CCA, GG, SAG)
5. Mark Ruffalo in Poor Things (CCA, SAG)
Erik Anderson

Erik Anderson is the founder/owner and Editor-in-Chief of AwardsWatch and has always loved all things Oscar, having watched the Academy Awards since he was in single digits; making lists, rankings and predictions throughout the show. This led him down the path to obsessing about awards. Much later, he found himself in film school and the film forums of GoldDerby, and then migrated over to the former Oscarwatch (now AwardsDaily), before breaking off to create AwardsWatch in 2013. He is a Rotten Tomatoes-approved critic, accredited by the Cannes Film Festival, Telluride Film Festival, Toronto International Film Festival and more, is a member of the International Cinephile Society (ICS), The Society of LGBTQ Entertainment Critics (GALECA), Hollywood Critics Association (HCA) and the International Press Academy. Among his many achieved goals with AwardsWatch, he has given a platform to underrepresented writers and critics and supplied them with access to film festivals and the industry and calls the Bay Area his home where he lives with his husband and son.

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