Like Da’Vine Joy Randolph in Supporting Actress, Robert Downey Jr. (Oppenheimer) made a clean sweep of the precursors and even led regional critics wins, although he missed all of the trifecta (LAFCA/NYFCC/NSFC) wins.
In his winner speeches so far, Downey Jr. has largely been the opposite of Randolph’s self-effacing nature; there is a clear sense from him that he knows his history and legacy have been a big part of path this season. It doesn’t hurt that he’s the eventual Best Picture winner but Downey has had a storied Hollywood career of some pretty big ups and downs, a narrative that the Academy loves, that audiences love.
Early on it seemed that Ryan Gosling’s comic turn in Barbie could give chase, and he pulled off more than a dozen critics wins, but it wasn’t Kenough to get past Downey Jr.’s villainous Strauss.
Here are my final 2024 Oscar predictions for Supporting Actor.
| 1. Robert Downey Jr. in Oppenheimer (BAFTA, CCA, GG, SAG) |
| 2. Ryan Gosling in Barbie (BAFTA, CCA, GG, SAG) |
| 3. Sterling K. Brown in American Fiction (CCA, SAG) |
| 4. Robert De Niro in Killers of the Flower Moon (BAFTA, CCA, GG, SAG) |
| 5. Mark Ruffalo in Poor Things (CCA, SAG) |
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