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2018 Oscar Nomination Predictions

Best Cinematography

 CINEMATOGRAPHYErik
Anderson
Bryan BonafedeGreg HowardEvan
Kost
Jason OsiasonKenneth
Polishchuk
Denizcan SürücüRichard
Anthony
Şükrü SöğütMatt DinnTOTAL
POINTS
1Blade Runner 2049111111121298
2Dunkirk222232212191
3Shape of Water, The334324373375
4Darkest Hour553455534566
5Wonderstruck499573445456
6Call Me By Your Name648647756651
7Lost City of Z, The87710987824
8Florida Project, The86999718
9Breathe7109810101013
10Phantom Thread7610912
11Detroit68910
11Wonder Wheel6610
14Roman Israel, Esq.68109
11mother!910881010
15The Papers56
16Murder on the Orient Express (2017)101
OTHER CONTENDERS
Aftermath, The
All the Money in the World
Beguiled, The
Current War, The
Downsizing
Get Out
Greatest Showman, The
Goodbye Christopher Robin
Happy End
Killing of a Sacred Deer, The
Last Flag Flying
Lean on Pete
Marshall
Mary Magdalene
Snowman, The
Star Wars: The Last Jedi
You Were Never Really Here

Best Film Editing

 FILM EDITINGErik
Anderson
Bryan BonafedeGreg HowardEvan
Kost
Jason OsiasonKenneth
Polishchuk
Denizcan SürücüRichard
Anthony
Şükrü SöğütMatt DinnTOTAL
POINTS
1Dunkirk111121111199
2Blade Runner 2049562262222477
3The Papers344354443670
4Shape of Water, The22363554366
5Get Out4310443867556
6Detroit101336241
6Roman Israel, Esq.8975107655741
8Call Me By Your Name657897101026
9Florida Project, The 1096798820
10Star Wars: The Last Jedi751091010917
11Darkest Hour9898912
11mother!68712
13Last Flag Flying8988
14Downsizing74
15Wonderstruck101
OTHER CONTENDERS
15:17 to Paris, The
Aftermath, The
All the Money in the World
Breathe
Current War, The
Goodbye Christopher Robin
Greatest Showman, The
Happy End
Killing of a Sacred Deer, The
Lean on Pete
Lost City of Z, The
Marshall
Mary Magdalene
Snowman, The
Suburbicon
Phantom Thread
Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri

Best Original Score

 ORIGINAL SCOREErik
Anderson
Bryan BonafedeGreg HowardEvan
Kost
Jason OsiasonKenneth
Polishchuk
Denizcan SürücüRichard
Anthony
Şükrü SöğütMatt DinnTOTAL
POINTS
1Dunkirk121242111194
2The Papers332123222387
3Shape of Water, The415414343279
4Wonderstruck248331564569
5Darkest Hour563555435465
6Star Wars: The Last Jedi8579107676639
7Blade Runner 204948675729
8Greatest Showman, The66899721
10Coco79108910915
10Phantom Thread797615
9mother!108106710101017
12Detroit888911
13Roman Israel, Esq.99105
14War for the Planet of the Apes83
15Victoria and Abdul101
OTHER CONTENDERS
All the Money in the World
Based on a True Story
Battle of the Sexes
Current War, The
Downsizing
Ferdinand
Killing of a Sacred Deer, The
Last Flag Flying
Lean on Pete
Mary Magdalene
Mudbound
Murder on the Orient Express (2017)
Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri

Previous: Adapted and Original Screenplays

Next: Production and Costume Design

7 comments

  1. Well, ok, let’s fix for future (if you don’t mind): #13, 8 pts, 1 mention (Jason) for “Call Me By Your Name” (12.03.2017)

  2. Why exactly ‘The Current War’ has advantage over ‘Mary Magdalene’ ? Given that November is release date for MM and December for the ‘War” we can conclude that ‘Mary Magdalene’ is the favorite of TWC for next season.

    • Those release dates are definitely significant. It’s also early and TWC has notoriously moved their dates around before locking them down. Look at Burnt or The Founder. We won’t know their true #1 until probably summer time.

      • That’s right. In 2015, after Cannes premiere ‘Carol’ was TWC’s choice for December but in July (or August), the movie got November release date. We’ll see what will happen this summer with MM and ‘War’.

  3. Don’t understand your faith in Joe Wright (“Darkest Hour”) in directing category. So let’s fix it:
    #5, 55 pts, 9 mentions (gingerly kudos for Bryan) (12.04.2017)

  4. Are these rankings based on solely the cast and director? Meaning the more Oscar nominated/winners on an upcoming movie the higher the rating, or is there something else to it? Now I didn’t see your 2017 predictions but based off of this I would say that Moonlight was prob rated very low?

    • We take every possible thing into account for rankings. Director, cast, subject, studio, release date, subject matter, anything relevant. Moonlight was mid-low in early 2016 but built quickly by end of summer/pre fall, ahead of most predictors on the web.